Justin Fields and the Bears venture to Pittsburgh as they battle Najee Harris and the Steelers on Monday Night Football. The Awesemo team has launched the NFL Player Props Tool, covering each of the major prop categories for each week throughout 2021. We will analyze all the odds at various sportsbooks to identify the best Week 9 NFL player props available based on the Tool’s projected values and odds of success. Below are three of the best NFL prop bets for tonight’s Bears vs. Steelers Monday Night Football matchup.
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Week 9 Monday Night Football NFL Player Prop Bets
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Allen Robinson Over 3.5 Receptions (+130, PointsBet)
You can find and sort by the best expected ROI on the category for Bears receiver Allen Robinson. Robinson has been in a slump through the Bears’ quarterback transition, averaging 3.25 receptions on 5.5 targets per game, and the NFL Player Props Tool gives the over on 3.5 receptions a 57% expected win rate. With Robinson projected for 4.08 catches on 6.93 targets, the over has a projected 34% return on investment. The Steelers rank 15th in pass DVOA and have surrendered 13.71 receptions per game to the wide receiver position. At considerable plus-money odds on a relatively low prop, grab the over on Robinson.
Ben Roethlisberger Over 23.5 Completions (-104, FanDuel)
Despite Ben Roethlisberger having one of the rougher seasons of his career, he has one of the best player props based on expected ROI. Roethlisberger is averaging 25 completions on 38.42 pass attempts per game, and the NFL Player Props Tool projects a 65% expected win rate for the over. As Roethlisberger is projected for 24.36 completions on 35.9 pass attempts, leading to a 28% return on investment.
The Bears rank 13th in pass DVOA and have allowed just 20 completions per game on 64% completion, though Khalil Mack will be absent again with a foot injury. Harris is averaging 17% of the Steelers targets, and the Bears rank 16th against the running back position in pass DVOA. Roethlisberger has targeted running backs as many as 19 times in one game this season. At minimal house juice, take the over on Roethlisberger’s completions.
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Marquise Goodwin Over 10.5 Yards Receiving (-125, PointsBet)
He is not making huge splashes in Chicago, but Marquise Goodwin has quietly been getting receptions of late. He is averaging 17 yards per game through four games, and the over on 10.5 yards has a 66% expected win rate. As Goodwin is projected for 20.33 yards on 1.58 catches against the Steelers, over has a 17% expected return on investment. The Steelers have surrendered 168.71 yards per game to opposing wide receivers and rank 27th in PFF’s receiver coverage. Despite the spend up, take the over on Goodwin’s low-hanging total.
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