Daniel Jones and the injury-plagued New York Giants head into Arrowhead Stadium to battle Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs on Monday Night Football. The Awesemo team has launched the NFL Player Props Tool, covering each of the major prop categories for each week throughout 2021. We will analyze all the odds at various sportsbooks to identify the best Week 8 NFL player props available based on the Tool’s projected values and odds of success. Below are three of the best NFL prop bets for tonight’s Giants vs. Chiefs Monday Night Football matchup.
Week 8 Monday Night Football NFL Player Prop Bets
Darrel Williams Over 56.5 Yards Rushing (-115, PointsBet)
With Clyde Edwards-Helaire on injured reserve, the NFL Player Props Tool anticipates more success for Darrel Williams. Williams is averaging 41 yards per game since taking over as the starter, and the props tool offers a staggering 72% expected win rate to the over on 56.5 yards rushing. With Williams projected for 74.75 yards against the Giants, the over carries a 34% expected ROI.
PFF ranks the Giants 18th in run defense, and they have surrendered 111.57 yards per game to opposing running backs. The Giants also rank 22nd in run DVOA and are allowing 4.54 yards per carry to running backs. Despite the underwhelming numbers, Williams has played just two games as the Chiefs’ lead back, and he has an excellent opportunity tonight against the Giants, as they will also be without starting linebacker Lorenzo Carter.
Daniel Jones Over 20.5 Completions (-125, DraftKings)
Jones has struggled to produce with an ailing offense, but the NFL Player Props Tool anticipates he will find some holes in the Chiefs secondary. Jones is averaging 21.85 completions per game through seven games, and the props tool projects the over for a 68% expected win rate. As Jones is projected for 23.04 completions against the Chiefs, the props tool gives the over a 23% expected ROI.
The Chiefs defense ranks 31st in pass DVOA and has allowed 22.42 completions per game through seven games. Kansas City is ranked 20th in coverage against receivers according to PFF, and they are allowing a 67.8% completion rate to opposing offenses. On a palatable passing prop line, lock in the over for Jones despite the spend-up juice.
Travis Kelce Under 79.5 Yards Receiving (-115, Caesars)
Travis Kelce is having a solid year despite the Chiefs’ shortcomings, but the NFL Player Props Tool projects tonight’s prop line may be too high. Kelce is averaging 76.1 yards per game this season, and the props tool offers a 59% expected win rate on the under. As Kelce is projected for 74.5 yards on 6.15 catches, the props tool projects the under for a 10% expected ROI.
The Giants defense ranks 18th against the tight end position in pass DVOA and ranks 22nd in PFF coverage grade. The Giants defense has allowed 48.71 yards per game to opposing tight ends, with a 74% catch rate surrendered to the position. Grab the under on Kelce at moderate juice.
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