Alvin Kamara and the New Orleans Saints venture into Seattle to take on the Seahawks on Monday Night Football. The Awesemo team has launched the NFL Player Props Tool, covering each of the major prop categories for each week throughout 2021. We will analyze all the odds at various sportsbooks to identify the best Week 7 NFL player props available based on the Tool’s projected values and odds of success. Below are three of the best NFL prop bets for tonight’s Saints vs. Seahawks Monday Night Football matchup.
Week 7 Monday Night Football NFL Player Prop Bets
Jameis Winston Over 17.5 Completions (+105, DraftKings)
Jameis Winston has played conservatively this season, but the NFL Player Props Tool believes this prop is too low. Winston is averaging just 14 completions and 178.4 yards per game, yet the props tool gives the over a 76% expected win rate. Winston is projected for 20.31 completions on 28.7 attempts, while the props tool projects a 57% return on investment on the over.
The Seahawks defense has surrendered 26.5 completions per game and a 67.9% completion rate (10th highest in NFL) and ranks 24th in pass DVOA. Although Winston has yet to complete more than 17 passes this season, he has thrown just two interceptions and has a 108.1 quarterback rating through five starts. Grab the plus money odds with an excellent projection.
Alvin Kamara Over 3.5 Receptions (-149, Caesars)
Kamara has been impressive in the game, and the props tool forecasts another productive showing in Seattle. Kamara is averaging three catches per game, and the NFL Player Props Tool gives the over a convincing 74% expected win rate. With Kamara projected for five receptions via 6.5 targets on Monday Night Football, the props tool projects a 23% return on investment for the over. Seattle’s defense ranks 28th in pass DVOA against opposing running backs while having surrendered 6.5 receptions per game to the position. Kamara is coming off a five-reception game against Washington where he also saw a season-high eight targets before the Saints’ bye week. Lock in the over on Kamara despite the increased house juice.
Tyler Lockett Over 45.5 Yards Receiving (-113, FanDuel)
Tyler Lockett has been hit and miss since Russell Wilson‘s injury, but the NFL Player Props Tool projects a rebound on Monday Night Football. Lockett has averaged 70.8 yards per game this season, and the props tool gives the over a 62% expected win rate. As Lockett is projected for 60.7 yards on 4.93 receptions against the Saints, the over has a 17% return on investment by the props tool.
The Saints defense ranks ninth in pass DVOA while surrendering 199.4 yards per game to opposing wide receivers. The rapport between Lockett and Geno Smith has yet to be established, but in a matchup where Seattle may have to throw more as the game progresses, Lockett is in a great spot to produce. Considering the lower yardage prop line available, get the over at moderate juice.
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