Sunday Night Football is the proving grounds for two teams seeking a turnaround as the Indianapolis Colts head to Santa Clara to battle the San Francisco 49ers. The Awesemo team has launched the NFL Player Props Tool, covering each of the major prop categories for each week throughout 2021. We will analyze all the odds at various sportsbooks to identify the best Week 7 NFL player props available based on the Tool’s projected values and odds of success. Below are three of the best NFL prop bets for tonight’s Colts vs. 49ers Sunday Night Football matchup.
Week 7 Sunday Night Football NFL Player Prop Bets
Carson Wentz Over 199.5 Yards Passing (-115, DraftKings)
Carson Wentz has been finding some success of late, and the NFL Player Props Tool projects he will surpass a low prop line. Wentz is averaging 257.5 yards per game this season, and the props tool gives the over a 76% expected win rate and a 41% expected return on investment while projecting Wentz for over 230 yards passing. The 49ers defense has allowed 196.16 yards per game to opposing quarterbacks while ranking 14th in pass DVOA. On such a low prop for Wentz, grab the over at moderate house juice while it is still beneath the 20 mark.
Jonathan Taylor Under 68.5 Yards Rushing (-115, DraftKings)
Jonathan Taylor has averaged 78.66 yards per game in six games and the props tool projects a 66% expected win rate for the under. As Taylor is projected for 62.77 yards giving the under a 23% return on investment. The 49ers defense ranks 15th in run DVOA, having surrendered 77 yards per game to opposing running backs. Tonight’s weather forecasts sloppy conditions, with 98% precipitation at kickoff, which could make the yardage harder to come by. Between the inconsistent offense and rainy conditions on the road for the Colts, side with the props tool here and dial in the under.
Deebo Samuel Over 60.5 Yards Receiving (-113, FanDuel)
Deebo Samuel has become the top receiver in San Francisco, and the NFL Player Props Tool expects that trend to continue. Samuel has averaged 109.6 yards per game this year, and the props tool gives the over a 79% expected win rate. Samuel is projected for 7.07 receptions for 98.4 yards on 10.33 targets against the Colts, and the over has a 49% expected return on investment. The Colts defense has surrendered 170.5 yards per game to wide receivers and ranks 29th in pass DVOA. Yet the Colts having the top-ranked run DVOA may shift the 49ers’ plans toward a pass-heavy scheme, further favoring Samuel. Lock in the over on a low total for Samuel.
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