The Green Bay Packers and Aaron Rodgers head to Santa Clara to face the San Francisco 49ers on Sunday Night Football. With the start of the NFL season, the Awesemo team has launched the NFL Player Props Tool, covering each of the major prop categories for each week throughout 2021. We will analyze all the odds at various sportsbooks to identify the best NFL player props available based on the Tool’s projected values and odds of success. Below are three of the best NFL prop bets for tonight’s Packers vs. 49ers Sunday Night Football matchup.
Week 3 Sunday Night Football NFL Player Props
Marquez Valdes-Scantling Under 2.5 Receptions (-110, DraftKings)
Marquez Valdes-Scantling had an impressive training camp, yet the regular season has not seen the same results, and the NFL Player Props Tool favors the under on 2.5 receptions tonight. Valdes-Scantling projects for just 1.85 receptions on Sunday Night Football, pointing to a 67% success rate on the under. He has three receptions on 12 targets for 17 yards while playing 64.4% of snaps through two games. He is facing a San Francisco defense tied for third-fewest receptions allowed to wide receivers, with 19. The line is a bit low, but the low juice is enough incentive.
A.J. Dillon Over 18.5 Yards Rushing (-113, FanDuel)
Although A.J. Dillon is playing second fiddle to Aaron Jones, the NFL Player Props Tool projects the line of 18.5 yards is too low, giving the over a 76% expected win rate and 44% return on investment. Dillon has averaged 18.5 yards rushing per game and 4.1 yards per attempt on nine carries, accounting for 21.4% of Green Bay’s rushing attempts (to Jones’ 44.1%). In 2020 Dillon averaged 5.3 yards per carry on 46 attempts, totaling 242 yards rushing. Against a 49ers defense allowing 4.15 yards per carry, he projects to smash the over.
Deebo Samuel Over 64.5 Yards Receiving (-115, DraftKings)
Deebo Samuel has seen a majority share of work thus far and projects no differently on Sunday Night Football. The over on this line has a 59% expected win rate according to the NFL Player Props Tool, including a 10.9% return on investment. Samuel is projected for 79.7 yards receiving against the Packers, and he is averaging 141 yards receiving per game. Last season Samuel had 391 yards receiving in seven games and 55.9 yards receiving per game. He is accounting for 39.5% team target share and 54.2% of the 49ers’ yards receiving, and Samuel should surpass his prop total if he performs at even half the rate he has been.
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