Thursday Night Football provides a periscope to the playoff hopefuls with a battle between an NFC and AFC team each respectively in the hunt, as the Minnesota Vikings host the Pittsburgh Steelers. The Awesemo team has launched OddsShopper, covering each of the major prop categories for each week throughout 2021. We will analyze all the odds at various sportsbooks to identify the best Week 14 NFL player props available based on the tool’s projected values and odds of success. Below are three of the best NFL prop bets for tonight’s Steelers vs. Vikings Thursday Night Football matchup.
Week 14 Thursday Night Football NFL Player Prop Bets
With the latest groundbreaking features in sports betting featured in OddsShopper, finding your best bets has never been as easy as it is now. With the ability to simply filter, sort and bet, you can now land the best bets and odds in 30 seconds or less. You can even create a Prop Party Parlay with a mix of your own favorite props of the day.
Justin Jefferson Under 7.5 Receptions (-120, FanDuel)
Although Adam Thielen‘s injury spells targets to spread around in Minnesota, Justin Jefferson’s receiving prop is too high. Jefferson is averaging 6.5 catches per game and projects for 6.73 catches, leading to a 77% expected win rate and 40% expected return on investment for the under. The Steelers rank 14th in pass DVOA against WR1’s and allow 12.66 catches per game to opposing wide receiver corps. At a slight spend up, grab the under on Jefferson.
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Ben Roethlisberger Over 22.5 Completions (-111, BetMGM)
Through a turbulent season, Ben Roethlisberger has helped the Steelers tread water. He is averaging 24.45 completions per game and projects for 24.67 completions. OddsShopper translates that projection to a 68% expected win rate and 28% expected return on investment on over 22.5 completions. The Vikings defense is allowing 21.75 completions per game at a 62.2% completion rate and ranks 13th in pass DVOA. With a reasonable prop line just above standard juice, take the over on Roethlisberger’s completions.
Pat Freiermuth Over 3.5 Receptions (-125, DraftKings)
Pat Freiermuth has been a newfound security blanket for Roethlisberger this season, averaging 3.6 catches per game. Tonight OddsShopper projects him for 4.35 catches on 5.63 targets, leading to a 61% expected win rate and 10% expected return on investment on over 3.5 receptions. The Vikings rank 11th in pass DVOA against opposing tight ends, having allowed 3.58 catches per game to the position. Buy the quarter juice on the over for Freiermuth against Minnesota.
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