The Kansas City Chiefs will try to extinguish the demons of upsets’ past as they head to Allegiant Stadium to wage war with the Las Vegas Raiders on Sunday Night Football. The Awesemo team has launched the NFL Player Props Tool, covering each of the major prop categories for each week throughout 2021. We will analyze all the odds at various sportsbooks to identify the best Week 10 NFL player props available based on the Tool’s projected values and odds of success. Below are three of the best NFL prop bets for tonight’s Chiefs vs. Raiders Sunday Night Football matchup.
Week 10 Sunday Night Football NFL Player Prop Bets
With the latest groundbreaking features in sports betting featured in the OddsShopper tool, finding your best bets has never been as easy as it is now. With the ability to simply filter, sort and bet, you can now land the best bets and odds in 30 seconds or less. You can even create a Prop Party Parlay with a mix of your own favorite props of the day.
Travis Kelce Under 74.5 Yards Receiving (-110, Caesars)
As you can see in the example above finding the best odds on Travis Kelce using the OddsShopper tool is as easy as ever, and the NFL Player Props Tool sheds light to the under on his receiving yardage on Sunday night. Kelce is averaging 69.8 receiving yards per game through nine games played and the props tool projects the under with a 60% expected win rate. With Kelce projected for 68.67 receiving yards on 5.7 catches against the Raiders, the props tool aligns a 15% return on investment by the under. The Raiders defense has allowed 66.87 receiving yards per game to opposing tight ends while ranking 25th in defensive pass DVOA by Football Outsiders. With the line moved up a full yard since release, a wait-and-see approach would be recommended until the reverse movement kicks in.
Hunter Renfrow Over 5.5 Receptions (-125, Caesars)
With Henry Ruggs no longer on the team, Hunter Renfrow assumes the role of WR1 and the NFL Player Props Tool insinuates a close one on his reception prop. Renfrow is averaging 5.6 catches and 7.5 targets per game and the props tool extends a 50% expected win rate to the over. As Renfrow’s projected for 5.69 receptions on 7.96 targets against the Chiefs, the props tool projects a -1% return on investment considering the razor-thin margin between projection and player prop odds. Renfrow was already averaging 20.3% of the Raiders’ team target share prior to Ruggs’ departure and remains in a great opportunity to exploit a Chiefs defense ranking 18th in receiver coverage with a 62.2 rating by Pro Football Focus. Averaging seven catches per game in the past two weeks, take the over on Renfrow’s receptions.
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Derek Carr Over 24.5 Completions (-130, Caesars)
The NFL Player Props Tool finds plenty of value in Derek Carr‘s likelihood of reaching his completions player prop against the Chiefs lackadaisical secondary. Carr is averaging 26.25 completions on 39 pass attempts per game through eight games played and the props tool lends a 65% expected win rate to the over. With Carr projected for 26 completions on 37.2 pass attempts on Sunday Night Football, the props tool projects the over with a 15% return on investment. The Chiefs defense ranks 27th in defensive pass DVOA while surrendering just 22 completions per game through nine games and ranking 31st in pass rush with a 62.6 rating by PFF. On Sunday night primetime at home against their weakened division rival, take the over on Carr’s completions at a slight spend up on juice.
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