There are 11 games across the NHL on Thursday night, even with no Canadian teams playing much hockey and COVID still rearing its head across the league. Having so many games to choose from can be a tall task, but it also likely will lead to overlooked bets and great value to target with Awesemo’s NHL betting predictions. With that in mind, this column will make use of all tools at Awesemo, including industry-leading projections and the updated OddsShopper projections for the best NHL bets today.
Best NHL Bets Today: Player Prop Picks & Predictions
Ducks vs. Red Wings Over 5.5 (+100, PointsBet)
On an 11-game night this absolutely feels like an oversight with two poor defensive teams facing off in Anaheim. The Ducks have a bit of depleted roster with multiple top line forwards missing, including Trevor Zegras and Ryan Getzlaf, which has led to less possession and faultier defense. Over roughly the last three weeks, the Ducks rank in the bottom third across the board in defensive metrics, including the third-most expected goals allowed per 60 (3.28). Like the Ducks, the Wings have been poor defensively in that time, and on a larger scale they have been very poor over the course of the year, with a putrid 46% Corsi-For and the league’s 24th-worst expected goals allowed per 60 (2.6). Those numbers lead to the over hitting easily, and adding in the even money, there is no value sacrificed.
Robby Fabbri Shots on Goal Over 2 vs. Ducks (-144, FanDuel)
Insurance is not something many enjoy unless it tags along NHL bets. With the line on Robby Fabbri‘s shots on goal at just two, he does not need to do much against the aforementioned Ducks. On the year Fabbri is averaging 2.25 shots per game, with 116 attempts in total — he is projected for 2.27 per OddsShopper‘s projections. The Ducks defense has been better than expected, hanging around the middle of the pack, but with so many forwards missing, their best defense (their offense) has decreased noticeably in their absences.
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Gustav Nyquist First Goal vs. Devils (+1900, DraftKings)
It is difficult finding any top-line winger with scoring odds above +1300, but using OddsShopper made finding Gustav Nyquist at this number pretty simple. He has been producing his last two on that top line for the Jackets, with 4 points (two goals, two assists) and five shots in total. The Devils have been poor overall defensively in 2021, coming in the bottom third in most defensive categories, and they could be without multiple players, including their best defenseman Dougie Hamilton.
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