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TOP NHL Picks Today: Mikko Rantanen & Dylan Larkin Player Prop Bets | Tuesday 3/15/22

Josh Anderson



Best free NHL picks tonight and hockey betting picks and predictions

It is Tuesday night, which means another full night of NHL betting with 11 games on the schedule. The condensed schedule is great for the betting world, but it has to be taking its toll on the players at some point, if not already. Yesterday was a rare day with only one game on the night, so teams should be relatively fresh and biases from the market should be neutralized. But humans will be human, so to help find those best NHL bets and hidden values, I will use Awesemo’s OddsShopper, which comprises all bets across the market and breaks it down easily and quickly. It should be an interesting slate if nothing else, so let’s get to the best NHL picks today.

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NHL Picks Today: Best Hockey Bets & Player Props

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Dylan Larkin Over 2.5 Shots On Goal (-150, Caesars)

Much of the attention in this game will be paid to the Edmonton Oilers, as they should handle the Red Wings. However, that means there are great NHL picks today on the other side. For the season, Dylan Larkin is averaging just under three shots on goal per game — 161 in 54 games — and carries one of the highest shot-on-goal projections on the night (3.2). With this positive matchup and proven output, Larkin’s shot-on-goal prop is third on the slate in expected win percentage (64%).

The odds are not fantastic here, but they are warranted considering the matchup with a very poor Oilers defense. Along with that, he brings in a very favorable hold percentage, coming in at 4.3% despite just a mediocre expected ROI and betting line. It is difficult to imagine a situation where Larkin does not get three shots in 20 minutes of ice time against this team, and with a positive return and hold percentage, this is one of the best NHL bets tonight.

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Mikko Rantanen Any Goal Scorer (+125, PointsBet)

On a slate loaded with goal scorers, Mikko Rantanen comes in at a very favorable number facing the Kings in Los Angeles. In comparison to others across the board, it is genuinely not close in terms of expected ROI and win percentage, as Rantanen is one of just two players with a positive ROI and win percentage over 40 — William Nylander is the other. Only two players come in above Rantanen in the projections, but both carry less than even-money odds, which immediately takes them off the board in terms of overall value.

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Everything lines up here on both sides for Rantanen, as the Kings have struggled recently and are possibly missing key pieces in the front and back end with Viktor Arvidsson and Drew Doughty both banged up, among others. There is more concern with Gabriel Landeskog out, but the newly formed Colorado top line has been a force, with possession numbers all above 57% and scoring metrics nearing 60% in a quality sample. Getting just over even money on a goal scorer is not the most exciting play, but this situation and expected outcome make for a great NHL bet.

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"gottagetthiswiiin" - Born and raised in Wisconsin with a degree in Marketing. DFS has been a big part of my life since 2016 and has changed my career path and quality of life so much I can't not love it. I enjoy all sports and I'm definitely not a diehard Packers fan, or any team for that matter besides maybe the Wild. Love to travel with the wife and kid - Germany if I'm picking a favorite place. Hope to help people make more thoughtful, and informed, DFS decisions.

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