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FREE NHL PICKS TODAY: Wild Moneyline & Roman Josi Player Prop Bets | Thursday 4/28/22

Josh Anderson



FREE NHL Picks Today: Expert Betting Predictions & Player Props 4/28

This NHL season has been long and divided, but thankfully profitable. Hopefully, some of those trends will continue with nine games on tonight’s schedule. It is a bit of a change from the last few months which habitually saw 11 or more games every Tuesday and Thursday, so nine is definitely more manageable to help pinpoint the best NHL bets. This article will incorporate Awesemo’s OddsShopper with projections, expected ROI and win percentage. Let’s find some of the best NHL picks today.

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NHL Picks Today: Best Hockey Bets & Player Props

Wild Moneyline vs. Flames (-120, FanDuel)

The Minnesota Wild get the Flames on home ice as the season draws to an end for both of these playoff teams who possibly preview a second-round matchup. It would likely surprise many that the Wild have actually won more games (51) than the Pacific-leading Flames (50), who have nothing to play for in this tilt with a 10-point cushion over the Oilers. The Wild, on the other hand, are still battling for the second seed in the Central Division with the Blues, who do not play until tomorrow night at home. The Wild and Calgary rely on very similarly built teams with one very dominant line and depth lines that produce volume and solid goaltending. The large difference between these two is the possession the Flames often control, while the Wild are comfortable relinquishing possession to prevent quality scoring chances. They have the third-best high-danger against rate in the NHL. That possession and quality of chances should tilt in the Wild’s favor, even more, tonight as the Flames just look to make it through this game healthy and will be comfortable letting the Wild possess the puck more.

Only one team has shot the puck better than the home-standing Wild all year in the NHL at five vs. five with a mark over 10%. They should see an increased number of chances in this one as they battle to lock up the second seed in their division and face an unmotivated Flames bunch ready to get home to prepare for their first-round matchup.

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Roman Josi Over 2.5 Shots on Goal (-165, DraftKings)

Roman Josi paces the entire slate with an expected win percentage of 74% and an xROI still in the top three of any shot on goal prop despite the heavily weighted odds. The Predators defenseman also carries the fifth-highest shot projection overall for tonight’s games with a number pushing over 3.7 total. If this were a middle-of-the-season tilt against Colorado, this may have a different tune, as the Avalanche are better than nearly all at controlling the puck. Even then, Josi is always good at hitting his average 3.47 shots per night. There is also a very interesting dynamic to this game as the Predators may face this team again in just a few nights if they lose and stay in the eight-spot. All the more reason for them to try to do whatever they can to put goals on the board, which has involved Josi 93 times this year.

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The next favorite prop bet on the night would once again be Brent Burns over 2.5 shots taken on the Oilers at +135, which is even better than Tuesday’s line.

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"gottagetthiswiiin" - Born and raised in Wisconsin with a degree in Marketing. DFS has been a big part of my life since 2016 and has changed my career path and quality of life so much I can't not love it. I enjoy all sports and I'm definitely not a diehard Packers fan, or any team for that matter besides maybe the Wild. Love to travel with the wife and kid - Germany if I'm picking a favorite place. Hope to help people make more thoughtful, and informed, DFS decisions.

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