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TOP NHL Picks Today: Sebastian Aho & Shea Theodore Player Prop Bets | Thursday 3/17/22

Josh Anderson



NHL picks today and free expert hockey betting predictions tonight

Thursday night brings 10 games for your NHL betting pleasure. It is another packed schedule which means there is plenty to sift through to find the best NHL bets. You can use Awesemo’s OddsShopper, which gathers odds from around the betting world to help make that sifting process much faster and painless. With some big names on the slate, and some missing, it should be a great night so let’s make some NHL picks today.

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NHL Picks Today: Best Hockey Bets & Player Props

Shea Theodore Over 2.5 Shots On Goal (+105, Caesars)

At the very summit of the ROI mountain sits Shea Theodore with a projected shot total at three and expected win percentage pushing 60%. The always-involved defenseman has averaged just over the current line’s number in terms of shots on the year, with 148 on the season. Vegas has been struggling to stay healthy all year which can directly, or indirectly, affect Theodore’s output as he will benefit from possession or be forced to shoot by necessity. Regardless of the situation in tonight’s game (Max Pacioretty DTD) the defenseman is second on the team in ice time at 23:01.

This game should be a track meet as both teams rely heavily on the rush to create chances and goals. The only drawback for Theodore and the Golden Knights here is that the Panthers are just far better at it over with a Corsi-against per 60 in the top five of the league.

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Sebastian Aho Anytime Goal Scorer (+145, PointsBet)

Sebastian Aho and the Hurricanes go into Toronto facing the Auston Matthews-less Leafs, which is a nice boost to all involved. There is arguably no better player in the league than Matthews nor a more important one to their team as the pivot controls play and creates chances better than anyone. With him out, the Hurricanes should enjoy plenty of possession as they always do as the third-best team controlling the puck at 5 on 5. Aho has had himself a very solid year in 2022 with 61 points overall (27 goals, 34 assists). The team’s 3.2 total and Aho’s 41% expected win are not going to knock any socks off, but in terms of ROI, no player above 40% can match Aho.

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The goal total will continue to rise for Carolina as the day continues and the betting markets realize Matthews is out for this contest. With a large portion of the puck control going to the Hurricanes and a goal projection over .5, this is one of the best NHL bets on the day not getting much recognition, for now at least.

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"gottagetthiswiiin" - Born and raised in Wisconsin with a degree in Marketing. DFS has been a big part of my life since 2016 and has changed my career path and quality of life so much I can't not love it. I enjoy all sports and I'm definitely not a diehard Packers fan, or any team for that matter besides maybe the Wild. Love to travel with the wife and kid - Germany if I'm picking a favorite place. Hope to help people make more thoughtful, and informed, DFS decisions.

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