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TOP NHL Picks Tonight: Justin Faulk & Zach Werenski Player Prop Bets | Thursday 3/10/22

Josh Anderson



FREE NHL Picks Today: Expert Betting Predictions & Player Props 4/5

After having three months with just a few days with double-digit games, NHL fans have their second such slate this week with a big-time 13-game night. As is standard with this many games, it is a substantial amount of work finding the best NHL bets. Expediting any process, whether it is for DFS or betting, is always priority number one, and to help the community do so there is no better way than using Awesemo’s OddsShopper. There is so much to go through that having the ability to find the best ROI bets and highest expected win are incredibly helpful.

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We are excited to announce the launch of our Premium Betting Picks subscription! Click the link to subscribe and join our Betting Picks Discord channel. Each day, Alex “Awesemo” Baker, Ben Rasa and Steve “da Coltz” Buzzard use Awesemo’s industry-leading projection models to identify the best potential ROI situations and provide catered snapshot betting analysis in an actionable timeframe.

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NHL Picks Tonight: Best Hockey Bets & Player Props

Justin Faulk Over 1.5 Shots On Goal (-160, Caesars)

Justin Faulk has a 70% chance of hitting this line facing the New York Rangers, which puts him atop the NHL betting mountain in terms of expected win percentage with a few others. On the season alone, the aggressive defenseman has averaged over two shots on net per contest and comes in with a projection of 2.3 shots. Along with his typical involved nature, the Minnesotan has also seen plenty of ice time over the last 10 with 26+ minutes in four contests.

The Rangers have the league’s best goalie in the net and he has become such because of the Rangers’ inability to stop opponents at 5 vs. 5. For the year, they are 28th overall in Corsi against per 60 at 58.61, even below the league’s doormat in Montreal. Igor Shesterkin may be able to stop 95% of shots, but thankfully that is of no worry, as the defenseman looks primed to convert here.

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Matt Duchene Any Goal Scorer (+750, PointsBet)

Taking a delve into the goal-scoring pool feels a little strange, but as someone who cannot swim, you just have to dive in sometimes. Matt Duchene is an expected 34% winner here taking on the porous Ducks defense with the highest expected ROI on the entire NHL betting slate. The Ducks have been better than anyone expected defensively, ranking middle of the pack in most metrics but regression would seem likely for their penalty kill, as they have gotten the best goaltending in the league when shorthanded from their tandem of John Gibson and Anthony Stolarz.

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Duchene is projected for .4 goals on the evening, which does not sound like much but when combined with the very favorable odds and plus matchup there is no better high-risk bet on the market. Banking on power plays is high risk but the Ducks have obliged much of the year taking over 3.5 minors per game, which should give Duchene ample opportunities to score here.

Zach Werenski Over 2.5 Shots on Goal (-170, Caesars)

Zach Werenski is back in the fold after missing a couple of games for the Jackets facing the Islanders and looks primed to cash in here. The talented defenseman is projected for 3.4 shots on target tonight, which makes him incredibly favorable in terms of short odds bets at this number. For the year, Werenski has averaged over three shots per game and now faces an Islanders squad in the bottom third of the league across the board in possession metrics, including just a 47% shot share at even strength.

Werenski is basically a lock for 26 minutes every night and has picked up the shot volume recently as well, with 19 shots over his last five tilts. Taking the short odds is not exciting but we are entering lock status here.

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"gottagetthiswiiin" - Born and raised in Wisconsin with a degree in Marketing. DFS has been a big part of my life since 2016 and has changed my career path and quality of life so much I can't not love it. I enjoy all sports and I'm definitely not a diehard Packers fan, or any team for that matter besides maybe the Wild. Love to travel with the wife and kid - Germany if I'm picking a favorite place. Hope to help people make more thoughtful, and informed, DFS decisions.

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