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Sean B’s Best NBA Playoff Bets Today: Mavericks vs. Jazz Picks & Predictions | Thursday 4/28/22

Sean Blazek



The home teams prevailed on Wednesday with Milwaukee and Golden State both defeating their opponents and advancing to the second round of the playoffs. The Nuggets entered the fourth quarter with an 8-point lead over the Warriors but were outscored 32-20 in the quarter losing Game 5 and officially ending their season. Milwaukee took care of business dominating the Bulls by 16 points on Wednesday. Today presents three Game 6’s on the slate. Let’s dive into the best NBA bets today, picks and NBA betting tips for Thursday, April 28.

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Best NBA Bets Today: Game Tips & Betting Predictions

Mavericks vs. Jazz Best Bet

The Dallas Mavericks travel to Salt Lake City for Game 6 of their first-round battle with the Utah Jazz. The Mavericks crushed the Jazz by 25 points in a convincing win at home on Monday. Despite being without Luka Doncic for the first three games, Dallas holds a 3-2 series lead. Utah looks to avoid elimination for the second straight year in the first round. Tipoff is scheduled for 10 p.m. ET on TNT.

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The Mavericks’ Game 5 win can be attributed to the play of their all-around spectacular defense. Dallas held Utah to 77 points on 29-77 shooting from the field as a team. Doncic balled out on Monday, finishing with 33 points, 13 rebounds and five assists on 50% shooting from the field. Doncic is playing at a high caliber level with back-to-back 30-10 games in his first two games of the series. Dallas ranks top five in the playoffs in both offensive and defensive rating. Jalen Brunson has showed he is capable of taking over the offense, which proves why it is essential for the Mavs to re-sign him this summer. Dallas has found success with their small-ball lineups that are forcing Rudy Gobert out of the paint and throwing off the effectiveness of Utah’s defensive scheme. The Mavericks are getting whatever looks they want on offense against Utah and given the Jazz are on the brink of elimination, expect them to try to speed up the pace and increase their 3-point volume.

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The Utah Jazz will be happy to get back to their home court following a blowout loss. The Jazz shot 37.7% from the floor and an awful 10% from beyond the arc while turning the ball over 13 times. This was their worst performance of the season, scoring under 20 points in three of four quarters. Donovan Mitchell sustained a hamstring injury in Game 5. Mitchell stated he is good to go for Game 6, but be sure to keep an eye on his status throughout the day. Much of Mitchell’s success on offense comes from his explosiveness, which could be limited by this hamstring injury. In this series, the Jazz are averaging 99.6 points on 44.6% shooting from the floor. Utah ranks in the bottom of the playoff teams in both offensive and defensive rating. Mitchell and Gobert have been out of sync all season.

It is highly unlikely for either team to shoot as poorly as they did in Game 5. Both teams shot a combined 15-73 from deep on Monday. Dallas is 8-1 against the spread in nine head-to-head meetings this season. Utah is 17-24-2 against the spread at home while Dallas is 26-17 against the spread on the road. The momentum is in the Mavericks’ favor and although Mitchell plans to play for Utah, he could overdo himself knowing he has to go out all for any hope in a win-or-go-home situation. It is Doncic’s time to shine and lead the Mavericks to a second-round series for the first time in over 10 years. Look for Utah to tighten up on defense, but will it be enough to take down the Mavericks and force a Game 7? Take the 1 point with the Mavericks and look for them to close out the series today.

Best NBA Bet for Today’s Game: Dallas Mavericks +1

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Sean Blazek (aka SweatBets) has contributed to Awesemo since November 2021 and is currently an NBA Betting Content Creator. His articles can be found on Awesemo as well as OddsShopper under the NBA Betting Articles section. Sean has a knack for identifying value in spreads and totals using an analytical approach to find his Best Bets. Follow him on Twitter @SweatBets and get ready to cash.

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