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Sean B’s Best NBA Playoff Bets Today: Mavericks vs. Suns Picks & Predictions | Tuesday 5/10/22

Sean Blazek



The NBA Playoffs continue on Tuesday with Game 5 of the Eastern and Western Conference Semifinals on the slate. Both series are tied up 2-2 with each of the home teams favorited in tonight’s contest. Home teams are 8-0 straight up in these two series. Can the 76ers or Mavericks steal one on the road tonight and head into Game 6 with the opportunity to advance to the Conference Finals? Let’s dive into the best NBA bets today, picks and NBA betting tips for Tuesday, May 10.

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Best NBA Bets Today: Game Tips & Betting Predictions

Mavericks vs. Suns Best Bet

The Mavericks and Suns are all even at two games apiece as the series shifts back to Phoenix for Game 5. Each team has come up victorious on their home court through four games. The Suns cruised to victory in Games 1 and 2, while the Mavericks fought back, winning Games 3 and 4. The Suns had previously won 11 straight head-to-head matchups before dropping the last two games in Dallas. Phoenix will look to bounce back and take the series lead tonight. Tipoff for Game 5 is set for 10 p.m. ET on TNT.

Dallas routed the Suns 111-101 in Game 4, shooting lights out from deep with 20 3-pointers made as a team. The Mavericks clamped down on defense, holding a red-hot Phoenix offense to 97.5 points per contest in Games 3 and 4. Dorian Finney-Smith was the X-factor for the Mavericks in Game 4, sinking 8-of-12 3-pointers and finishing the game with 24 points. When this team gets offensive production from players outside of Luka Doncic, they can be tough to beat. Six players finished in double figures on Sunday. Doncic will need to be more efficient for the Mavericks to stand a chance on the road. On the season, Dallas allows the second-fewest points per game (104.6) and the second-lowest 3-point percentage to opponents (33.9%).

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After a franchise-record stretch of shooting 50% or better from the field, the Suns finally cooled off on offense during their trip to Dallas. Phoenix shot 9-for-25 from beyond the arc on Sunday. Devin Booker went off, scoring 35 points on 10-for-22 from the field, but it was not enough to produce a win for the Suns. Chris Paul finished Game 4 with only 5 points, as he could not stay out of foul trouble. He fouled out in just 23 minutes. This team needs to play better defense on the perimeter in order to win Game 5. The Suns have done a nice job controlling the glass, outrebounding Dallas by an average of 10 rebounds in the first four games. Phoenix was a top-10 rebounding team during the regular season. Their defense is allowing 109 points per game to the Mavericks this series. Dallas has put a major emphasis on 3-pointers in their last two games, so look for the Suns defense to make it a focal point heading into Game 5.

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The Mavericks played with a different tempo the last two games, but watch for Phoenix to speed up the pace and force Dallas to beat them through offense. It will be tough for the Dallas role players to all have the same success on the road. The home team has dominated in this series, and tonight should be no different. The Mavericks are 3-9 against the spread in their last 12 games in Phoenix. Dallas surrendered over 120 points in both road games against the Suns and is not built to win an offensive shootout. The Suns are winning home games by an average of 8.8 points per game this season. Look for Phoenix to protect the ball by limiting the turnovers to take home the victory in Game 5. Lay the points with Phoenix at home tonight.

If you find this bet to be too risky, BetMGM is giving away FREE money! All you have to do is bet $10 to win $200 if either the Suns or the Mavericks hit just one 3-pointer tonight.

Best NBA Bet for Today’s Game: Phoenix Suns -6

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Sean Blazek (aka SweatBets) has contributed to Awesemo since November 2021 and is currently an NBA Betting Content Creator. His articles can be found on Awesemo as well as OddsShopper under the NBA Betting Articles section. Sean has a knack for identifying value in spreads and totals using an analytical approach to find his Best Bets. Follow him on Twitter @SweatBets and get ready to cash.

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