In this article, we will take a look at the best Week 12 NFL player prop bets from the 4 p.m. ET window. Using the Awesemo NFL Betting Player Props Tool, bettors can utilize it to maximize their profits and see which bets have the highest expected return on investment. Also, bettors can use OddsShopper to find which sportsbooks are offering the best prices for these player prop bets. Three bets stood out above the rest in the 4 p.m. ET window, so let’s see what best NFL prop bets are:
Week 12 Best NFL Player Props & Betting Picks
Aaron Rodgers – Under 271.5 Passing Yards, -114 (FanDuel)
Sunday’s matchup between the Green Bay Packers and Los Angeles Rams is a rematch of last year’s Divisional Round matchup, in which the Packers emerged victoriously. Judging from the words of Rams’ players this week, that moment certainly hasn’t passed their minds just yet. That’s not good news for Aaron Rodgers, who hasn’t been making much good news lately. After missing an important game against the Kansas City Chiefs, Green Bay is now 1-2 in the last three games since the Rodgers incident. In addition to the mid-season stumble, Rodgers is now dealing with foot and toe issues which could keep him limited. The Los Angeles pass defense has underperformed slightly this season, but this is a team coming off a bye week that had extra time to prepare for Rodgers. Not to mention, the Rams have Von Miller joining the same defense now as Aaron Donald and Jalen Ramsey.
According to Awesemo’s expert projections, Rodgers is only projected to throw for 246 yards with a 73% expected win rate and 37% expected return on investment. Only two quarterbacks have exceeded 271.5 passing yards against the Rams this season.
Sony Michel – Over 17.5 Rushing Yards (BetMGM)
Coming from that same Packers-Rams game, Sony Michel has quietly been hitting rushing props on a regular basis. As an RB2 in a high-powered offense like the one LA has, sometimes these guys find a knack and create a role that works for themselves. Michel has topped this 17.5-yard mark in each of his last three games, and in five of the last six. In the Rams’ last game, Darrell Henderson left the game briefly with a concussion and returned for limited action. If Henderson is still a little foggy from the big hit, Michel will gladly be there to soak up the work.
According to Awesemo’s expert projections, Michel is projected to run for 35 yards with an 86% expected win rate and 57% expected return on investment. Numerous running backs have exceeded this low mark of 17.5 rushing yards against the Packers, with six of them being considered an RB2.
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Kirk Cousins – Under 272.5 Passing Yards, -115 (Caesars)
The Minnesota Vikings have traveled everywhere in recent weeks, going from Baltimore to Los Angeles, back home to Minnesota and back out on the road now to face the San Francisco 49ers, who have now won three of their last four games. Those are just too many miles to be flying in consecutive weeks, so we should expect Minnesota to show up a bit flat in this one. After all, sharp money is coming in on the 49ers, and that means they can kill the clock for large chunks of time if they’re running the football with the lead. We just saw what the 49ers did to a very talented Rams offense two weeks ago, so Kirk Cousins will likely need to find creative ways to be successful – and that is not when he is at his best. San Francisco’s pass defense has been strong this season, allowing the third-fewest yards per attempt.
According to Awesemo’s expert projections, Cousins is only projected to throw for 246 yards with a 68% expected win rate and 28% expected return on investment. Only one quarterback (Jared Goff in Week 1) has exceeded 272.5 passing yards against the 49ers this season.
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