In this article, we’ll take a look at the best Week 4 NFL player prop bets from the 4 p.m. ET window. Using the Awesemo NFL Betting Player Props Tool, bettors can utilize it to maximize their profits and see which bets have the highest expected return on investment. Also, bettors can use OddsShopper to find which sportsbooks are offering the best prices for these player prop bets. Three bets stood out above the rest in the 4:00 p.m. ET window, so let’s see what best NFL prop bets are:
Week 4 Best NFL Player Prop Bets
Jimmy Garoppolo: Over 240.5 Passing Yards (-115, DraftKings)
All three quarterbacks that have faced the Seattle Seahawks this season have exceeded the 250-yard passing mark, with the last two, Ryan Tannehill and Kirk Cousins, going for over 300. Those performances have the Seahawks ranked 26th in yards allowed per pass and 27th DVOA in pass defense.
According to Awesemo’s Player Prop Betting Tool, Garoppolo’s over on 240.5 passing yards has a 68% chance of hitting with an expected return on investment of 26%. So far this season, Garoppolo has already topped 250 yards in two of his first three games, and he’ll be called on again with the San Francisco 49ers’ running back situation in a bit of disarray. Some guys are banged up, and some are just flat-out inexperienced.
This is expected to be one of the more exciting games of the week, so the offenses should be going back and forth. In the last five 49ers-Seahawks matchups, both teams have scored at least 21 points in each game. In four of the last five, the game was decided by at least five points – and in three of the last five, the game was decided by three points.
Ty’Son Williams: Over 32.5 Rushing Yards (-120, BetMGM)
Bettors will have to pay up a little more on BetMGM, but they’ll also get a much lower number (32.5) to hit on Williams’ rushing yards than anywhere else. The other sportsbooks have his prop number somewhere in the range of 34.5-36.5, so using the Awesemo OddsShopper Tool is essential here. According to Awesemo’s Player Prop Betting Tool, Williams has a 77% chance to exceed 32.5 rushing yards with a 42% expected return on investment.
This is the perfect time for the Baltimore Ravens to get Williams involved in the offense once again, after only feeding him five times last week. He saw a massive decrease in usage but was still in on 50% of the team’s snaps; fellow RB Latavius Murray led the team with seven carries. The chance of pace was odd, to say the least, so the hope is that Ravens head coach returns to Williams and his 6.1 yards per carry.
We are not entirely sure what to expect from the Denver Broncos’ defense this week, considering their opponents are a combined 0-9 this season. The Broncos controlled each of their three games from the onset, so them allowing the second-fewest yards per carry is a bit misleading. Ravens QB Lamar Jackson has been a little banged up throughout the week, and that might lead the way for more of a rushing attack.
Teddy Bridgewater: Over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns (-105, Caesars)
Bridgewater just barely missed the mark for us last week on both passing yards and completion, so you know he owes us one this time around. The matchup of former Louisville Cardinal QBs is expected to be a good one between Bridgewater and Jackson on Sunday.
After allowing Derek Carr and Patrick Mahomes to throw for a combined 778 yards and 5 TD-2 INT in the first two games, the Ravens’ defense held Jared Goff to 217 passing yards and 0 TD-0 INT last week. We shouldn’t be too convinced those woes have been solved, though, considering the Detroit Lions wide receiving corps might be the worst in the NFL.
Broncos RB Melvin Gordon was limited in practice throughout the week but is expected to play on Sunday. If the team gives him limited touches, or even feels a little hesitant with rookie RB Javonte Williams in the red zone again after he fumbled last week, Bridgewater will have all the extra opportunities he needs to pay off on this prop bet.
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