In this article, we will take a look at the best Week 5 NFL player prop bets from the 4 p.m. ET window. Using the Awesemo NFL Betting Player Props Tool, bettors can utilize it to maximize their profits and see which bets have the highest expected return on investment. Also, bettors can use OddsShopper to find which sportsbooks are offering the best prices for these player prop bets. Three bets stood out above the rest in the 4:00 p.m. ET window, so let’s see what best NFL prop bets are:
Week 5 Best NFL Player Prop Bets
Justin Herbert Under 289.5 Yards Passing, -115 (DraftKings)
Herbert and the Chargers have a tough matchup against the Browns this Sunday. Aside from the season opener, the Browns have not allowed a team to pass for more than 230 yards since. Herbert is more talented than any of the quarterbacks Cleveland has faced in those games, but it speaks to the efficiency of Cleveland’s defense. The Browns also have the third-highest time of possession, and that will keep Herbert off the field, as they have allowed the third-fewest yards passing per game. According to Awesemo’s NFL Player Props Tool, Herbert going under 289.5 yards has a 64% chance of succeeding and a 20% expected return on investment.
Derek Carr Over 5.5 Yards Rushing, -113 (FanDuel)
Carr is on pace for a career high in attempts this season. He already has 13 of them through the first four games and topped 5 yards rushing in three of those games. With Raiders running backs getting injured on a regular basis, the team needs to find other ways of moving the football. According to Awesemo’s NFL Player Props Tool, Carr is projected to run for 16.5 yards on Sunday, which is three times the number as the prop number he needs to it. The prop has an 85% chance of hitting and an expected return of 59%. Two other quarterbacks (Jared Goff 8, Baker Mayfield 31) have already exceeded this number against the Bears this season.
Odell Beckham Jr. Under 57.5 Yards Receiving, -115 (PointsBet)
The Browns face the Chargers, who have allowed the fifth-fewest yards passing per game (192.5) this season. Cleveland also has an elite pass defense, allowing the third-fewest yards through the air. Beckham’s season did not get started until Week 3, and he was held to 27 yards last week in a matchup that could mirror today’s. According to Awesemo’s NFL Player Props Tool, Beckham going under 57.5 yards has a 68% chance of succeeding and an expected return on investment of 27%. The Chargers have yet to allow a 100-yard receiver this season, and only three receivers have exceeded 57.5 yards.
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