In this article, we will take a look at the best Week 7 NFL player prop bets from the 1 p.m. ET window. Using the Awesemo NFL Betting Player Props Tool, bettors can utilize it to maximize their profits and see which bets have the highest expected return on investment. Also, bettors can use OddsShopper to find which sportsbooks are offering the best prices for these player prop bets. Three bets stood out above the rest in the 1 p.m. ET window, so let’s see what best NFL prop bets are:
Week 7 Best NFL Player Prop Bets
Daniel Jones, Over: 19.5 Rushing Yards, -110 (Caesars)
This might be one of the biggest smash plays of the day. According to the Awesemo Player Props Tool, Jones is projected to rush for 30.8 rushing yards with an expected win rate of 73% and 40% expected return on investment. So far this season, five different quarterbacks (including Taysom Hill) to face the Carolina Panthers have rushed for at least 16 yards.
It would behoove New York Giants head coach Joe Judge to get Jones a few QB read-option plays going this Sunday. After the scare in Dallas, Judge was noticeably hesitant to put his quarterback in running situations last week against the Los Angeles Rams. However, this is a great chance to keep the Panthers off guard. Not to mention, it could only take Jones one run to crush the over on this prop bet; he does have runs of 12, 20 and 46 yards this season.
Taylor Heinicke, Under 238.5 Passing Yards, -110 (Caesars)
Heinicke and the Washington Football Team have faced three straight opponents that scored 30-plus points. This has made their offense push the tempo a bit more, but that might not be the case when traveling to face the Green Bay Packers this week. The Packers are slightly above average in time of possession (31.2 minutes) and even get a slight bump when playing at home (33.5 minutes). Based on those numbers, it’s clear the Packers would like to run the football and let the opposing team deal with the hectic road atmosphere at Lambeau Field.
According to Awesemo’s Player Props Tool, Heinicke is projected to throw for 224.7 yards and has a 66% chance of throwing under 238.5 yards with a 24% expected return on investment. No quarterback has thrown for 300-plus yards against the Packers this season, and five of six have thrown for under 260 yards. It’s also worth noting that no opposing quarterback has attempted more than 40 passes against Green Bay, thus limiting the upside for Heinicke in this matchup.
Matt Ryan, Over: 23.5 Completions, -114 (FanDuel)
The Miami Dolphins have allowed the sixth-most completions (154) and attempts (232), in addition to intercepting the third-fewest passes (2). This all sets up well for Ryan and the Atlanta Falcons pass-catchers, who will be well rested after a bye week. It certainly helps having an underneath option coming out of the backfield like Cordarrelle Patterson, who has at least five receptions in each of the last four games. Those are high-percentage throws that Ryan is looking for often, so we should certainly take advantage of that.
According to Awesemo’s Player Props Tool, Ryan is projected for 27 completions with a 76% projected win rate and 43% expected return on investment. After failing to exceed 23.5 completions in the season opener, Ryan has topped this mark in each of the next four games.
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