Awesemo Daily Fantasy Sports
Awesemo Fantasy Football
Awesemo Odds & Sports Betting
Awesemo Podcast Network
Awesemo Side Action
Odds Shopper by Awesemo
Connect with us

nfl betting

Week 3 NFL Player Prop Betting Picks: Sunday 1 p.m. ET Games | Patrick Mahomes

Avatar

Published

on

NFL Player prop bets for Week 3. FREE NFL betting advice and NFL player props for Sunday's 1 p.m. ET slate of games using Awesemo's expert tools.

In this article, we’ll take a look at the best Week 3 NFL player prop bets from the 1:00 p.m. ET window. Using the Awesemo NFL Betting Player Props Tool, bettors can utilize it to maximize their profits and see which bets have the highest expected return on investment. Also, bettors can use OddsShopper to find which sportsbooks are offering the best prices for these prop bets. Three bets stood out above the rest in the 1:00 p.m. ET window, so let’s see what best NFL prop bets are:

Week 3’s Best NFL Player Prop Bets

Patrick Mahomes – Over 303.5 Passing Yards (-115, DraftKings)

Taking the under on any stat for Mahomes is usually a daunting task, but we won’t have to worry about that in this matchup against the Los Angeles Chargers. This game has the highest total (54.5) in the 1 p.m. EST window, and the third-highest on the slate altogether. Mahomes and the Chiefs will be slinging the rock on Sunday, especially with their running back situation in a state of uncertainty. Clyde Edwards-Helaire had a costly fumble in Week 2 against the Baltimore Ravens, and there are not many guys that can carry the load behind him. Look for Kansas City to take to the air early and often.

Surprisingly, Mahomes has only exceeded 300 passing yards once against the Chargers in five career meetings. However, Awesemo’s NFL Betting Player Props Tool believes going over 303.5 passing yards has a 70% chance of winning with a 28.8% expected return on investment. Mahomes has easily cleared 300 passing yards in each of his first two contests (337, 343) and there’s likely going to be a nice back-and-forth scenario that DFS players and bettors alike will want to take advantage of. It certainly helps Mahomes’ case that he has two of the best weapons in WR Tyreek Hill and TE Travis Kelce to help get him over the mark.

Using the Awesemo OddsShopper, bettors can get a much better number (303.5) on DraftKings than any other sportsbook. Always be shopping for the best price on the market!

Carlos Hyde – Over 17.5 Rushing Yards (-114, FanDuel)

Speaking of high-scoring games, the matchup between the Arizona Cardinals and Jacksonville Jaguars has the second-highest total (54) in the 1 p.m. EST window. A lot of sharp bettors have warned Cardinals’ backers that they could be in for a bit of a sweat on Sunday afternoon. It sounds crazy to think, given how the two teams have looked early on this season, but this is the NFL and there are unexplainable instances each week.

Jacksonville hasn’t held the lead too long in its first two games, so establishing the run hasn’t been the main thought. However, Hyde is chugging along in the limited carries he has been giving, rushing for an average of 4.6 yards per carry. While it’s still early in the season, Arizona has allowed the seventh-most rushing yards (263) through the first two games.

Fantasy owners of RB James Robinson shouldn’t be terrified just yet, but Hyde will have moments cutting into his workload. According to Awesemo’s NFL Betting Player Props Tool, no other player on the entire Week 3 slate has a better chance (89%) to exceed his rushing yards prop than Hyde. In fact, our system has him down for a little more than 34 rushing yards, which is about more than half of the number he needs to hit. Bettors have an expected return on investment of 66.5% on this bet.

Quintez Cephus – Under 3.5 Receptions (-105, Caesars)

Coming off a strong showing on Monday Night Football, Cephus was one of the most highly coveted players on the Week 3 waiver wire in season-long fantasy football formats. On the season, he now has seven catches on 13 targets for 75 yards and two touchdowns. It’s worth noting the Lions have been spreading the ball around to their receivers early on. We should expect the Ravens to take a keen interest in Cephus on Sunday, and try to eliminate him from the game plan.

On the surface, this looks like a great matchup for the Detroit passing attack. After all, Baltimore has allowed the second-most passing yards already through two games and Detroit has been throwing a ton, because of trailing most of the way. We know that trend won’t continue for the rest of the season, so this is a spot that the Ravens defense is expected to bounce back in.

According to Awesemo’s NFL Betting Player Props Tool, Cephus is projected for 2.3 catches in this game, having him fall well below the 3.5 he needs to exceed. Using the Awesemo OddsShopper, bettors can find the best odds at Caesars Sportsbook compared to anywhere else on the market. Cephus going under 3.5 receptions has an 81% expected win percentage and an expected return on investment of 57.6%.


Thanks for reading to the end of this article! If you appreciate this free content and want to see more of it every day, you can help us out by sharing this article on social media!

Gain the edge you need to win with picks and analysis from Awesemo's Betting YouTube channel

Check out the AwesemoOdds home page for more sports betting content, including more picks and predictions.
React App

Sign up to Receive Expert DFS Advice & Exclusive Offers From Awesemo

Subscriber Counter

We respect your email privacy

More Betting