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How I’m Betting Chicago Bears vs. Detroit Lions Thanksgiving Day Football Today

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NFL best bets, betting odds, picks and predictions for Week 12 Thanksgiving Day Thursday Night Football Bears vs. Lions | Today Nov. 25, 2021

In our first NFL Thanksgiving game of the day, we have an NFC North showdown between the Chicago Bears and Detroit Lions. This looks to be a big game for both head coaches. The following Bears vs. Lions NFL Betting picks will provide the current odds, betting trends and best NFL bets for the NFL Thanksgiving matchup.

NFL Best Bets & Odds: Week 12 NFL Thanksgiving

Chicago Bears vs. Detroit Lions

Date: Thursday, Nov. 25, 2021
Time: 12:30 p.m. EST
Venue: Ford Field – Detroit, Mich.
Coverage: FOX

It was reported that Bears coach Matt Nagy was told by the front office he would be fired after this game. While that report is almost undoubtedly false, it would likely become a reality if he gives the Lions their first win of the season. Chicago has lost five games in a row, but with Andy Dalton starting at quarterback, they are in a good place to win this game. He will likely be without Allen Robinson, though Darnell Mooney is playing well right now.

Detroit is winless, but they have been competitive. They are running the ball well, often bringing in an extra offensive lineman and lining up multiple tight ends. This offense isn’t fancy, but they are physical. The defense has also played better the past couple of weeks, after they literally buried their game tape, getting rid of the demons Ted Lasso style. This game could possibly come down to the team that makes fewer mistakes. If they continue running the ball well, it could be them.

Bears vs. Lions Betting NFL Picks + Odds Shopping

Using Awesemo’s OddsShopper Tool, we can easily compare the NFL odds for Bears vs. Lions betting across the major sportsbooks. Make sure to check out the OddsShopper tool yourself to get the most up-to-date odds and expected win percentage on all your bets.

Bears vs. Lions NFL Betting Trends

  • Chicago is 4-6 against the spread this season.
  • The over is 3-7 for the Bears this season.
  • Detroit is 6-4 against the spread this season.
  • The over is 3-7 for the Lions this season.

Bears vs. Lions Betting Stats

  • Chicago is averaging 16.3 points per game this season (No. 29 in the NFL).
  • Chicago is surrendering 24.0 points per game this season (No. 21 in the NFL).
  • Detroit is averaging 16.0 points per game this season (No. 30 in the NFL).
  • Detroit is surrendering 27.3 points per game this season (No. 30 in the NFL).

Bears vs. Lions NFL Best Bet

We are using the new Awesemo NFL Betting Model to figure out what the best bet for today’s first Thanksgiving game.  According to the model, betting the Lions’ moneyline is the best bet, giving it an expected ROI of 6.3%. This is the only positive game bet, according to the model. The Lions are at home and seem to be the more focused team in this game. If they are running the ball well, this game is a coin flip. In coinflips, it’s wiser to take the choice that pays you more.

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OddsShopper NFL Betting Picks: Lions Moneyline (6% ROI)


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Zach Brunner is the founder of FlurrySports and a featured sports betting and fantasy sports expert for numerous outlets. With an education in business, coaching and history education, he has taken a little bit from all of his experiences to give him a well-rounded, unique point of view in the sports industry. Follow him on Twitter @FantasyFlurry to keep up with other things he is doing.

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