The Finish Line: NASCAR Best Bets for the Blue Emu 500 at Martinsville

NASCAR racing returns post-Easter break, this Saturday evening at Martinsville Speedway. Let’s discuss this week’s NASCAR betting picks, with outright favorites, top-five bets and value prop bets for the Blue Emu 500.

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NASCAR Betting Picks for Blue Emu 500 | Saturday, April 10

Blue Emu 500 Favorites

Most weeks don’t see numbers change up top as much as they have this week. Brad Keselowski opened at +175 on DraftKings Sportsbook as the prohibitive favorite for the Blue Emu 500. Fast-forward five days, and now Keselowski’s number has fallen to +600. With five straight top-five finishes at Martinsville, it made sense that Keselowski was the early co-favorite. Matching this reverse is Chase Elliott, who also opened at +175 but has retreated to +600. For anyone who liked Keselowski or Elliott on Sunday, nothing has changed for either driver.

What has remained static is Martin Truex Jr. at +500, although Keselowski’s and Elliott’s movement has made Truex the favorite on DraftKings currently. Short-odds favorites Joey Logano, Denny Hamlin, and Ryan Blaney have all seen their numbers remain where they were Sunday as well. Truex has the best case to win Saturday night’s affair based on his recent form at Martinsville and what he did at Phoenix a few weeks back, not to mention how good he has traditionally been in night races.

Top 5 Bets

DraftKings has dropped some big numbers as far as top-five bets go. That is a welcome sight compared to two weeks ago in the Bristol Dirt Race. To begin with, Kurt Busch is currently sitting at +400 for a top-five. Fifth is exactly what Kurt Busch had in last year’s fall Martinsville event. Although that was Busch’s best finish at Martinsville of late, the worst he has had in the past three years was 12th in the spring 2019 event. Those who want to bet Busch to finish in the top 10 once again only get -115. Thus the better move is to chase the higher payout should Busch spike again.

Speaking of hopeful spike weeks, DraftKings is offering Ryan Newman at +900 paying out $100 on a $10 bet for a top-five. In Newman’s last 1 0starts at Martinsville, his best finish has been eighth, something he’s done twice. In fact, in 38 career Martinsville starts, Newman has only finished in the top five just eight times, with one win. That being said, the name of the game at Martinsville in this 750-horsepower package is starting position. With a top-10 place on the grid, Newman should be able to hold position all night and keep himself on the lead lap.


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Race Props

Here is a list of interesting head-to-heads or props being offered by DraftKings Sportsbook.

  • Best Finishing Position – Race: Kyle Busch -115 over Kyle Larson.
  • Best Finishing Position – Race: Ryan Newman -115 over Austin Dillon.
  • Manufacturer of Winning Car: Ford +150
  • Top Toyota Car: Martin Truex Jr.+125
  • Top Chevrolet Car: Kyle Larson +350
  • Best Finish Group E: Ryan Newman +225
  • Best Finish Group F: Ricky Stenhouse Jr. +270

For those reading this article on Friday, there will be a parlay to jump on combining NASCAR and The Masters. Currently veteran Stewart Cink sits with a gaggle of other golfers at +2 tied at 30th. Cink had the benefit of a morning tee time on Thursday but will have slightly tougher conditions on Friday, as he goes out at 11:30 a.m. ET. The expectation is for Cink to play moderately safe as he did on Thursday, make the cut, and then hopefully his veteran acumen can lend to him being around even par for the tournament come Sunday.

Simply parlaying Cink’s top-20 finish number (+650) with Stenhouse to win his group, the odds are +2675.


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Phill Bennetzen is the creator of the RaceSheets; all-inclusive stats and data NASCAR DFS spreadsheets for the Trucks, Xfinity, and Cup Series. Phill and the RaceSheets can be found at racesheetsdfs.substack.com

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