Welcome to the Prop Report presented by No House Advantage! For those new to the site, NHA is a daily fantasy sports (DFS) app that offers prop-based contests across multiple sports. Simply pick your five favorite player props for a given slate, rank them five (most confident) through one (least confident) and receive those points for each prop that hits. The best part? Instead of facing a house advantage on props like you would with a sportsbook, No House Advantage has purely peer-to-peer contests with big cash prizes. Sign up here or download the app from the App Store to get started. I’m going to give you the three NBA picks I have my eye on for you to utilize in your three-, four- and five-point confidence slots for Wednesday’s Celtics – Heat game.
Ben’s Bet of the Day
Awesemo’s sports betting expert Ben Rasa pours over the day’s betting lines and breaks down the best bet of the day for you to build your sports betting card around.
The Prop Report: NBA Picks Presented By No House Advantage | Sept. 23
Gordon Hayward — OVER 13.5 Points
Good news arrived in the form of Hayward for the Celtics Saturday. The star forward made his first playoff appearance since Game 1 of their opening round series, helping them to their first win against the Heat. While the shot wasn’t falling, 30 minutes of court time is an encouraging sight and should lead to plenty more offensive opportunities. I have him pegged for 35 minutes in this one, a touch more than his season average since it’s playoff time and the right ankle got a couple extra days of rest. Hayward averaged 17.5 points per game in the regular season, so 13.5 feels like a buy-low number I want to be over on.
Jayson Tatum — UNDER 9.5 Rebounds
While Hayward’s return is a definite positive for the Celtics, his presence is going to cut into certain pieces of teammate’s production. Tatum’s rebounding seems to be one such example. In 14 playoff games of which Hayward was almost entirely absent, Tatum is averaging 9.2 rebounds per 36 minutes and a 14.4% total rebound percentage. But in 52 regular season games alongside Hayward, Tatum averaged only 7.3 rebounds per 36 and a 10.9% total rebound percentage. That dip is something I’m willing to bet on tonight, and recommend you do the same.
Marcus Smart — OVER 3.5 Rebounds
I love how I give you all of my solid reasoning for Tatum’s lower rebounding rate with Hayward back then disregard it for Smart here. This is the classic “this prop looks way too low” situation, and the stats back it up, as he averaged 4.4 rebounds per 36 minutes during the regular season. With him projected to play right around that number tonight, there’s a sizable edge taking the over on this prop.
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