Welcome to The Prop Report presented by No House Advantage. For those new to the site, NHA is a daily fantasy sports (DFS) app that offers prop-based contests across multiple sports. Simply pick your five favorite player props for a given slate, rank them eight (most confident) through one (least confident) and receive those points for each prop that hits. The best part? Instead of facing a house advantage on props like you would with your favorite NFL betting picks on a sportsbook, No House Advantage has purely peer-to-peer contests with big cash prizes. Sign up here or download the app from the App Store to get started. I’m going to give you my three favorite NFL player prop bets to utilize in your highest confidence slots for Sunday, the second leg of Wild Card Weekend.
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The Prop Report Presented By No House Advantage | Sunday NFL Picks
NFL Pick No. 1: Derrick Henry OVER 0.5 Rushing Touchdowns
After getting snake bit by the Ronald Jones situation on Saturday, I’m excited to turn the page with a fresh Sunday slate. The day kicks off at 1 p.m. EST with a fantastic matchup between the Ravens and the Titans in Nashville in a game sporting the highest total of the weekend (54). Expect offensive fireworks throughout, especially on the ground, as these are the first- and second-ranked rushing attacks in the NFL.
It’s no secret that the reason for the Titans’ success comes via one Derrick Henry, one of the best north-and-south runners in NFL history. With 2,000 yards and 17 touchdowns on the season, it’s hard to bet against him keeping his mean streak going despite the Baltimore’s decent defense. The DraftKings sportsbook agrees with that sentiment, as Henry enters Sunday with the second-largest odds to score on the slate at -200. That makes Henry’s over on 0.5 touchdowns easily my favorite NFL prop bet on the NHA board.
NFL Pick No. 2: Baker Mayfield OVER 0.5 Interceptions
Wild Card weekend on No House Advantage wouldn’t be complete without investing in some quarterback mishaps. And while I buy into Baker Mayfield‘s progressions as a passer under Kevin Stefanski, the Steelers defense, with 18 picks on the season, is far from an ideal first-round matchup. He’s a -175 favorite on multiple books to throw at least one pick, making this a rather advantageous prop. While the overs on multiple other quarterbacks are in play, Mayfield checks in as the best of the bunch.
NFL Pick No. 3: Jared Cook UNDER 44.5 Receiving Yards
The thoroughbreds are back in the stable for the Saints on Sunday. After a Week 17 absence for Alvin Kamara and Michael Thomas‘ activation off the IR, all of the weapons are back for Sean Payton to play with. And while Drew Brees hasn’t been the Brees of past years, he’s still shown a propensity to target Kamara and Thomas with outrageous volume the past two seasons.
That means Saints tight end Jared Cook becomes the odd man out. Vegas agrees, as his receiving prop is actually listed at 29.5 yards receiving at multiple sportsbooks, which is more in line to his 33.6 yards per game he’s averaged on the season. If Kamara and Thomas were to sit, that would be one thing. But with both active and ready to rock, 44.5 is simply too big of a number not to short.
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