Welcome to The Prop Report presented by No House Advantage. For those new to the site, NHA is a daily fantasy sports (DFS) app that offers prop-based contests across multiple sports. Simply pick your five favorite player props for a given slate, rank them eight (most confident) through one (least confident) and receive those points for each prop that hits. The best part? Instead of facing a house advantage on props like you would with a sportsbook, No House Advantage has purely peer-to-peer contests with big cash prizes. Sign up here or download the app from the App Store to get started. I’m going to give you my top two NFL props I have my eye on to utilize in the six-, seven- and eight-point confidence slots for Thursday’s Thanksgiving football festivities.
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The Prop Report Presented By No House Advantage | Thanksgiving Day NFL Picks
NFL Pick No. 1: CeeDee Lamb UNDER 57.5 Receiving Yards
It’s a pleasure to be back writing about the fine folks over at No House Advantage. The Turkey Day slate is consistently one of the best of the year, and it’s made even better this time around with NHA’s $15, $2,000-to-first offering. With the Steelers and Ravens nightcap being moved off our plates, we’re forced to feast on only two games Thursday. Be sure to not accidentally click on any of the options listed below CeeDee Lamb, as every one of them comes from the postponed game.
Speaking of Lamb, shorting his production is actually one of my favorite bets on the board. Despite an absurdly athletic touchdown grab against the Vikings in Week 11, Lamb still only clocked in a four-catch, 34-yard performance for the day. Yet somehow, that stat line was a massive improvement from the zero grabs for zero yards Lamb endured in Andy Dalton‘s previous start. Oh, and did I mention that goose egg came against this very same Washington Football Team? Ron Rivera’s defensive unit has proved formidable against slot receivers all season long. So with the worst matchup amongst the Cowboys’ dynamic trio of wide receivers — and little-to-no rapport with Dalton in three outings together — I’m locking Lamb’s under on 57.5 receiving yards in as one of my top plays on NHA.
NFL Pick No. 2: Andy Dalton OVER 0.5 Interceptions
One of my favorite plays week in and week out on NHA is playing the over on 0.5-interception lines. On any given slate, there’s at least one quarterback who’s more turnover prone and/or facing an above-average pass rush that could lead to more forced throws. Dalton actually checks both of those boxes for us; he’s thrown at least one pick in each of his three starts this season, and he’ll be facing a Washington pass rush that’s been merciless in 2020.
The other trick of the trade I use frequently is utilizing sportsbooks’ odds to inform the best bets on the NHA board. Courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook, Dalton is a -165 favorite to throw a single pick. That alone makes this a positive-expected-value bet worthy of one of your top confidence slots on NHA.
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