The game tonight does not initially seem like the most engaging matchup, with the New England Patriots taking on the Atlanta Falcons. However, putting some money on player prop bets is an easy way to bring some excitement to a boring game. Let’s take a look at the best Patriots vs. Falcons NFL betting picks for the Week 11 Thursday Night Football game using the Awesemo OddsShopper.
NFL Best Bets for Week 11 Thursday Night Football
New England Patriots vs. Atlanta Falcons
Date: Thursday, Nov. 18, 2021
Time: 8:20 p.m. EST
Venue: Mercedes-Benz Stadium — Atlanta, Ga.
Coverage: FOX/NFL Network
Patriots vs. Falcons NFL Betting Picks + Odds Shopping
Finding the most profitable NFL betting picks has never been easier. The newly updated OddsShopper tool is like the Amazon of sports betting. Simply filter, sort the page and find the NFL best bets within seconds, as seen below!
Olamide Zaccheaus Under 3.5 Receptions (-250, PointsBet)
As shown by the GIF, sorting the player props for this game by the expected win percentage brings this prop to the very top. This tool gives the under on this Olamide Zaccheaus receiving prop an 87% chance to hit and an expected ROI of 22%. The tool also projects Zaccheaus for two receptions. Zaccheaus has been more involved in the offense since Calvin Ridley stepped away from the team. Without Cordarrelle Patterson in the lineup tonight, one may expect him to get even more involved. However, he also could become a greater target for the defense to stop, which OddsShopper is clearly predicting. Zaccheaus has not topped three receptions this season, so he would need a season high to hit the over.
Kyle Pitts Under 62.5 Yards Receiving (-114, SugarHouse)
The Patriots’ defensive philosophy is to take away the opponent’s best weapon, forcing them to win with something other than their strength. With few players to fear on Atlanta’s offense, especially with Patterson expected to miss the game, the Patriots should key in on Kyle Pitts. Pitts has gone over this receiving prop only three times this season, and it will be tough for tonight to be his fourth. OddsShopper projects Pitts for 58 yards receiving tonight, giving this prop a 63% chance to hit the under and an 18% ROI.
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Jakobi Meyers Over 4.5 Receptions (-145, SugarHouse)
Atlanta’s pass defense is not good, allowing opposing quarterbacks to complete 69.1% of their passes, which is the fifth highest in the NFL. In other words, New England should have little issue moving the ball through the air, and this surely benefits their top wide receiver Jakobi Meyers. Look for the Patriots to pass a lot and Meyers to see a lot of targets. OddsShopper gives this over a 62% chance to hit and a 5% ROI, projecting him for 5.4 receptions. Now that Meyers has finally found the end zone, New England should keep that streak going.
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