This daily NBA betting article will examine the best betting picks and NBA player props each day. With OddsShopper, bettors can maximize their profits and see the best bets with the highest expected return on investment . Also, OddsShopper can find which sportsbooks are offering the best prices for these prop bets. Here are the five best bets for today’s three game-slate.
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Milwaukee likely won’t have Giannis Antetokounmpo tonight, and they are coming off a hard-fought win over Chicago last night. This year, the Bucks are 4-4 without Antekounmpo, and they have struggled offensively in the second game of back-to-backs. They have lost five of eight games following zero days rest with a nearly a minus-five point differential as they are shooting under 41% from the field. Moreover, Jrue Holiday has struggled shooting the ball since coming off the injured list.
Meanwhile, Sacramento is well-rested though the Kings won’t have Tyrese Haliburton. The Kings haven’t played since Wednesday, and they are 3-1 following two-day off with a +7.0 point differential.
The point total dropped 3.3 points since it was announced that Antekounmpo was doubtful for the game due to right knee soreness. Expect the Kings to take advantage of the Bucks playing last night and look to run more often than usual, while Milwaukee will likely try to control the pace a little. Sacramento has played better on the defensive end lately, particularly against opposing power forwards and point guards.
McGee is slated to make his third straight start with Deandre Ayton already declared out. While he has not seen much time (19 minutes per game) on the court over the last two games, he has been efficient and has a good matchup against the short-handed Pacers. McGee averages 11.8 points along with 8.3 caroms as a starter. Moreover, Indiana has given up over 27 points a game to opposing centers since Myles Turner was sidelined with a foot stress fracture three games ago, which is seven points more than their season average. McGee is projected for 12.61 points tonight. OddsShopper gives the over a 63% chance of hitting with an expected ROI of 23%.
This point total is a touch too high. Okoro has shot the ball decently well and gotten to the free-throw line a good amount over the last three games. Still, Okoro has scored only 30 points during this stretch, and with Lamar Stevens (knee soreness) expected to be available, he could see a reduction of minutes tonight. He played 30 minutes in each of his last two games. Okoro, projected for 8.67 points, averages 7.6 points while shooting 46.2% from the field and 12.5% from beyond the arc over his last five appearances. OddsShopper gives the under a 64% chance of hitting with an expected ROI of 19%.
This prop total has dropped significantly throughout the season, and there are decent odds (-110). Holmes is expected to make his third start in 2022 after missing the beginning of the month due to health and safety protocols. Holmes is coming off a 10-point performance on 4 of 5 shooting in 28 minutes against Detroit on Wednesday after seeing 15 minutes in his return to action. He struggled in December — tallying 53 points in eight games — but averages 12.5 points for the year on a career-high 69% shooting from the field.
Holmes is projected for 11.25 points tonight in a pretty advantageous matchup. While the Bucks have done an excellent job containing opposing centers, they don’t do a good job keeping them off the offensive glass, and that is where Holmes thrives. Holmes averages 2.2 offensive rebounds and 2.5 second-chance points a game. He also does an excellent job running the floor in transition. OddsShopper gives the over a 62% chance of hitting with an expected ROI of 18%.
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Bagley has rebounded the ball well lately and has played better this year when he is in the starting lineup. Bagley has scored at least 16 points and grabbed nine rebounds in each of his last three outings, giving him six games of at least that many boards this month. He averages 11.0 points and 8.3 caroms in 25.5 minutes as a starter. Bagley has an excellent opportunity to surpass the prop total tonight and is projected for 8.21 rebounds. OddsShopper gives the over a 73% chance of hitting with an expected ROI of 30%.
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