The NBA regular season is officially starting to wind down with four exactly four weeks remaining. With so much still to be decided in both conferences, every day will have several meaningful games. Tonight’s nine-game slate features four such contests, headlined by ABC’s broadcast of Milwaukee at Golden State. The Bucks (42-25) have won six straight and sit 2 1/2 games behind the Heat for the top spot in the Eastern Conference. Meanwhile, the Warriors (45-22) have won two straight and are a half-game in back of the Grizzlies in the battle for the Western Conference’s No. 2 seed. Minnesota at Miami, Cleveland at Chicago, and Toronto at Denver are other intriguing games.
This daily NBA article will examine the best betting picks, and NBA player prop bets today. With OddsShopper, bettors can maximize their profits and see the best bets with the highest expected return on investment . OddsShopper can find which sportsbooks offer the best prices for these prop bets. The following are the seven best bets for March 12.
Best NBA Bets Today: Player Props & Expert Betting Picks
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Utah should win the game with Awesemo giving the Jazz a 78% chance of picking up the W. However, the Jazz are not in great form, having lost three of their last five games during a seven-game road trip, including dropping a 104-102 decision to the Spurs last night. Utah has been sluggish offensively in games following no rest and is 3-7 on the season in these situations as they have just a 0.4 point scoring margin. They also may be without Bojan Bogdanovic (knee) for the second straight game.
Meanwhile, Sacramento has lost three straight games. But the Kings are coming off two days’ rest, and they have played pretty well on the offensive end in these games this year. Plus, the Kings have played decently well away from home over their last five road games as they have gone 2-3 with a -2.4 scoring margin. Moreover, only one of the three contests between the teams has been decided by double-figures while the total has gone over 230 points just once as well.
Spurs vs. Pacers Under 237.0 Points
This game should be a lot of fun as its features two of the best offensive backcourts on the offensive in NBA, although Indiana will be without starting point guard Malcolm Brogdon. Just believe that the point total is a tad bit too high, which is substantiated by Awesemo’s projection of fewer than 235 points to be scored.
The Pacers can really score the basketball, but the loss of Brogdon (concussion) hurts the offense and depth. Brogdon has led the team in scoring since the all-star break with 21.8 points while also compiling 6.2 assists and 5.8 rebounds. Expect Tyrese Haliburton and Buddy Hield to have huge games. Moreover, Indiana has been less efficient offensively on the road this season. The Pacers have averaged 113 points and given up 117 points over their last four games away from home. This will be their first game of the season after three days off.
However, this bet has more to do with the Spurs than the Pacers anyways. San Antonio is coming off a 104-102 victory over Utah last night, and while the Spurs have been decently efficient on the offensive end in the second leg of back-to-backs, they are averaging 112 points in these games for the season. Plus, they have been better defensively at home this season, and they have limited their last four opponents that have come to AT&T Center to an effective field goal percentage of 51.7%. Moreover, only one of their previous six games has produced over 23o combined points. OddsShopper gives the under a 53% chance of hitting with an expected ROI of 2%.
The point total seems to be a little low for what is expected to be an offensive showcase. Milwaukee is the league’s second-highest scoring team in the first quarter, and they have been even more efficient since the all-star break averaging 33.0 points on 51.8% shooting from the floor and 41.8% from the 3-point line. The Bucks have allowed an average of 29.0 points a game in the opening quarter during this stretch. Golden State is expected to have its handsful with Giannis Antetokounmpo, who averages eight points a game in the opening frame.
Golden Staten State has had difficulty defending recently and the problem has started in the first quarter as they are allowing over 31 points in the first 12 minutes over the last eight games. The Warriors are the sixth-highest scoring team at home in the opening period at 29.5 points a game. Stephen Curry ranks 15th in the league in scoring during the opening frame at 6.7.
Ayo Dosunmu Under 3.5 Rebounds
This is a plus money bet. Dosunmo is far from being a great rebounder and is dealing with a strained left abducted though he is expected to play. While Dosunmo has grabbed four or more rebounds in three of his last five games, he averages fewer than four caroms in the games that he has started this year. He has grabbed a total of three rebounds in 73 minutes against the Cavaliers, who are allowing the second-fewest rebounds to opposing backcourts this year. Dosunmo is projected for 3.1 rebounds tonight. OddsShopper gives the under a 61% chance of hitting with an expected ROI of 25%.
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