With the NCAA Men’s Tournament taking center stage, the NBA has slated just one game on the docket tonight as the Detroit Pistons head to Orlando to take on the Magic. The Pistons (18-51) and the Magic (18-52) are the only two teams officially eliminated from playoff contention, although neither team has the worst record in the league, with that distinction belonging to the Houston Rockets (17-52). At least those teams along with the Oklahoma City Thunder (20-49) are still playing for something, which is the most ping pong balls in this year’s draft.
This daily NBA article will examine the best betting picks, and NBA player prop bets today. With OddsShopper, bettors can maximize their profits and see the best bets with the highest expected return on investment . OddsShopper can find which sportsbooks offer the best prices for these prop bets. The following are the six best bets for March 17.
Best NBA Bets Today: Player Props & Expert Betting Picks
Magic Moneyline (-150)
There are some unknowns about the availability of players on both sides, with Cade Cunningham, Rodney McGruder, Wendell Clark Jr. and Chuma Okeke all questionable. Detroit will be without Jerami Grant, Hamidou Diallo and Frank Jackson, while Jalen Suggs is out for Orlando. However, the Magic are at home, and they have been playing the better basketball of late. The line has fluctuated a few points since opening.
Orlando has lost two straight and are coming off a terrible loss to Brooklyn where they allowed 150 points as Kyrie Irving exploded for 60. Prior to that, the Magic won at New Orleans and Toronto and had an impressive victory over the Timberwolves while also playing the Suns tough. They have won three of their last five games at the Amway Center. Carter and Moritz Wagner have been stellar over their last 10 games.
Meanwhile, Detroit enters the contest on a four-game losing streak. Cunningham and Grant have carried them offensively during this stretch. The Pistons only have won seven road games all year and are 3-6 away from home with a minus-7.7 scoring margin since February 1. OddsShopper gives the Magic a 59% chance of winning the game with an expected ROI of 2%.
Under 219 Points
Neither team are offensive juggernauts, though both squads have improved on that end since the beginning of 2022. The Pistons have the third-worst efficient offense and produce 103.5 points while producing an effective field goal percentage of 48.5%. The Magic are just a little worse in terms of efficiency, although they average 104.3 points with an effective field goal percentage of 50.2%. Orlando does not hit the offensive boards well. More importantly, both have shown marked improvement defensively. Since the All-Star break, the Pistons have held their opponents to an effective field goal percentage of 51.5% and the Magic have posted a defensive field goal percentage of 52.7%. OddsShopper gives the under a 51% chance of hitting. In addition, two of the three games that the teams have played this year have not totaled over 213 points and the under is 4-0 in their last four games as the favorite.
Franz Wagner Under 5.5 Rebounds
Wagner is not a great rebounder, grabbing just 7.8% of all available rebounds. He has done a better job on the glass lately, but is still averaging less than five boards over his last 10 appearances. Additionally, Wagner has only totaled nine rebounds in the previous three games against Detroit. Wagner is projected for 4.41 boards tonight. OddsShopper gives the under a 72% chance of hitting with an expected ROI of 26%.
Isaiah Stewart Over 0.5 Assists
Stewart does not set up his teammates that much, as he averages 1.1 assists a game, but he has recorded a dime in six of his last seven outings. OddsShopper gives the over a 68% chance of hitting with an expected ROI of 11%.
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