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The 3 BEST NBA Betting Picks Today: New York Knicks & Julius Randle | 1/20/22




This daily NBA betting article will examine the best betting picks and NBA player props each day. With OddsShopper, bettors can maximize their profits and see the best bets with the highest expected return on investment . Also, OddsShopper can find which sportsbooks are offering the best prices for these prop bets. Here are the three best bets for today’s three game-slate.

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Knicks Moneyline (-175) Over Pelicans

New York has been one of the most frustrating teams in the league due to their inconsistency, and it enters the game on a two-game losing streak. The Knicks play fairly well at Madison Square Garden, and they have been better defensively in 2022, especially at home. They are holding opponents to an effective field goal percentage of 49% in New York since Jan. 1. They are 6-2 in their last eight games at Madison Square Garden, and they have held six of their last eight opponents to under 100 points. Moreover, the Knicks have feasted on teams with a losing record, posting a 15-6 record and giving up a touch under 101 points. R.J. Barrett and Evan Fournier have shot the ball lately. Meanwhile, Julius Randle has led the charge defensively, as he is grabbing nearly 11 boards a game over the last nine. The key for the Knicks defensively will be keeping the Pelicans out of the paint, which they have done a pretty good job of lately.

New Orleans also enters the game on a two-game losing streak, and they have lost five in a row on the road. The Pelicans have been OK offensively lately, though they continue to struggle on both ends of the floor away from home. It is on the defensive end that is the biggest area of concern tonight, as New Orleans has allowed their opponents to record an effective field goal percentage of 57% over the last nine games. They have really struggled especially to defend the 3-point line.

Offensively, Brandon Ingram and Jonas Valanciunas continue to lead the way for New Orleans. Awesemo gives the Knicks a 61% chance of winning straight up.

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Suns and Mavericks Under 216.5 Points

The Suns and Mavericks are two of the hottest teams in the NBA and their defense is a big reason. Both teams enter on a four-game winning streak, with the Mavericks posting a league-best 9-1 over the last 10 games and the Suns 8-2. Dallas ranks first in defensive ranking over this 10-game stretch (98.5), as they are holding opponents to an NBA-best 48% effective field goal percentage and grabbing 76.4% of the available rebounds on the defensive end.

Similarly, Phoenix has recorded a defensive rating of 106 over this stretch while holding opponents to an effective field goal percentage of 49.4%, though they have struggled to keep opponents off the offensive glass. Plus, the Mavericks like to play slow, and the Suns have played much slower lately than at the beginning of the year. Neither of the team’s other two games have gone over 216 total points, and the Suns will be with Deandre Ayton (ankle) tonight.

Warriors and Pacers Under 111.5 (-110) First Half Points

The Warriors do not generally get off to fast starts, while the Pacers have not been as good early in the games lately. Indiana and Los Angeles combined for 106 first-half points last night. Moreover, the Warriors have been great defensively this year and while they have been typically a second-half team, the Dubs have held their last three opponents at home to an average of 46 points in the first half while averaging 59 themselves.

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Julius Randle Over 8.5 Rebounds & Over 4.5 Assists

Randle has been fairly consistent rebounding the ball this year. He is averaging just 0.1 rebounds less than his career-high of 10.2 a contest. While Randle has not rebounded the ball as well on the defensive end this year, he has done better on the offensive end, grabbing nearly two a game. Randle hauls in 13.4% of all available rebounds.

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Projected for 10.32 rebounds tonight, Randle has grabbed nine or more rebounds in 12 of his last 14 games. He averages 18.1 points and 10.9 rebounds during this stretch. Moreover, New Orleans has not rebounded the ball as well as earlier this season and are permitting opposing power forwards to bring down 11.4 rebounds over the last 10 contests. OddsShopper gives the over a 71% chance of hitting and an expected ROI of 23%.

Despite struggling offensively, Randle remains one of the best passing big men, although turnovers have been a problem this year. However, Randle has done better with his ball-handling over the last four games compiling 29 assists along with 10 turnovers. He has recorded five or more assists in five of his last 10 games. Randle is projected for 5.54 assists. OddsShopper gives the over a 65% chance of hitting and an expected ROI of 16%.

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