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Top 6 NBA Betting Picks Today: Miami Heat & Kyle Kuzma | 1/21/22




This daily NBA betting article will examine the best betting picks and NBA player props each day. With OddsShopper, bettors can maximize their profits and see the best bets with the highest expected return on investment . Also, OddsShopper can find which sportsbooks are offering the best prices for these prop bets. Here are the six best bets for today’s 11 game-slate.

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76ers and Clippers Over 213 Points

The total seems pretty low, with Awesemo projecting that there will be 217.2 points put on the board. Philadelphia enters the game in excellent form and is coming off a 123-110 victory over Orlando as Joel Embiid put up 50 points in only 27 minutes. The 76ers have been highly efficient on the offensive end over the last 13 games (10-3), registering a rating of 115 while posting an effective field goal percentage of 53.8%. Embiid and Tobias Harris are in line to have another big game as the Clippers have struggled on the defensive end since Paul George was placed on injured reserve. The Clips’ have given up around five points more a game (110) without George, although their defense has remained steady (105.5). Upfront is where the Clippers are really having a difficult time defensively as they are allowing opposing teams’ frontcourt to put up 72 points a game over the last 10 contests. OddsShopper gives the over a 55% chance of hitting and an expected ROI of 5%.

Heat Moneyline (+1.5 Points) Over Hawks

This is pretty much a pick-em game with the Heat getting plus-money odds (+105). This is the team’s third meeting in the past 10 days. Miami has been playing well of late and is 6-1 in their last seven, including winning four straight on the road. Moreover, the Heat won both of the earlier games against the Heat by a combined 30 points. However, they will not have Kyle Lowry (personal) or Tyler Herro (health and safety), though Bam Adebayo and Jimmy Butler will both play.

Atlanta has won two straight but only five of their last 14. Defense continues to be a problem for the Hawks. The Hawks’ defensive rating of 119.3 is the second worst in the league during this stretch as they are allowing their opponents to record an effective field percentage of 56.8%. On a positive note, Clint Capela (ankle), along with Danilo Gallinari (ankle) and Gorgui Dieng (ankle), could all be available as all three are questionable.

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Awesemo gives the Heat a 52% chance of winning with an expected ROI of 6%.

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Kyle Kuzma Under 17.5 Points

Kuzma and Spencer Dinwiddie kept the Wizards afloat while Bradley Beal and others were out. He has scored in double-figures in 14 straight games and has reached the 20-point mark in eight of those games. However, Kuzma has struggled shooting the ball a bit over the last three games (18-42, 42.1%), mainly from beyond the arc, as he has connected on only 2 of 9 attempts (22.2%). Granted, Kuzma has totaled 47 points (15.6 PPG) over this stretch, but that is considerably down from the 23.2 points on 51.6% shooting from the field he is putting up for the month. The return of Beal, Rui Hachimura, along with Montrezl Harrell, has cut into Kuzma’s shot attempts and minutes.

Kuzma has had a tough go with it against the Raptors this season. He averages 7.3 points and 8.0 rebounds while shooting 26.5% from the field and 15.8% from beyond the arc in three outings against them. Kuzma is projected for 13.81 points tonight. OddsShopper gives the under a 72% chance of hitting and an expected ROI of 30%.

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