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Most Profitable NBA Playoff Game Bets For Friday 4/29/22




Last night’s Game 6’s were certainly exciting, with the Mavericks surviving a comeback by the Jazz 98-96 as Bojan Bogdanovic missed a 23-foot 3-pointer with 1.3 seconds left and Dorian Finney-Smith secured the rebound. The win gave Dallas the 4-2 series victory. Prior to the Mavs win, Phoenix outscored New Orleans 67-51 in the second half to earn a 9-point win and close out the series. Philadelphia also advanced to the second round, though their win was easier as the 76ers routed the Raptors.

So, that begs the big question tonight. Can the Memphis Grizzlies pull off a sweep for teams leading 3-2 to close out the series on the road? The Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves Game 6 tips off at 9 p.m. ET on ESPN.

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This daily NBA article will examine the best betting picks and NBA player prop bets today. With OddsShopper, bettors can maximize their profits and see the best chances with the highest expected return on investment. OddsShopper can find which sportsbooks offer the best prices for these prop bets. The following are the seven best NBA bets for April 29.

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Grizzlies Moneyline (-120) Over Timberwolves

This series has been everything that fans and bettors could ask for. It has been extremely exciting, fast paced and dramatic. The last two games have been decided by a bucket, including Memphis’ 111-109 victory on Tuesday after trailing by 11 heading into the fourth. Ja Morant scored 18 of his game-high 30 points in the final stanza, while Desmond Bane and Brandon Clarke added 25 and 21 points, respectively. Expect another fantastic game tonight.

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The Grizzlies have won five of the nine meetings against the Timberwolves and six of those games have been decided by single digits. Memphis, one of the league’s best road teams, has shot the ball better than Minnesota, and they surprisingly have slung it better at the Target Center than at home. The Grizzlies have shot 45.6% from the field and 42% from beyond the arc while averaging 14.5 3-pointers a game in Minnesota. The Grizzlies have also defended decently well this entire series as they frustrated D’Angelo Russell into just 32.3% shooting from the field. Plus, Bane and Clarke have far exceeded expectations for the series.

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Memphis has really been great at forcing turnovers and hitting the glass. The Grizzlies have forced 19 turnovers a game — five per game coming from Karl-Anthony Towns — and have a plus-3.6 turnover differential. They also have out-rebounded Minnesota by four, including 11.8 to 7.2 on the offensive end. However, defending the 3-point line, foul shooting and limiting turnovers will be key for Memphis.

Memphis has been excellent after a two-day break this season. The Grizzlies have won both games this series following two days’ rest by an average of 15 points and are 14-4 for the season in such situations. Meanwhile, the Wolves are 7-8 on the season following two days off.

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Patrick Beverley Over 10.5 Points

Beverley is the type of feisty player who comes up big when needed. Beverley has played fairly well throughout the series, scoring in double figures in three of the games in the series. This includes 31 points in the two games against the Grizzlies at the Target Center, where he is 10 of 21 from the floor. He finished with 17 points in Game 4, draining four 3-pointers. Overall, Beverley averages 11.2 points and 5.2 assists on 43.2% shooting from the field through the first five games. Beverley is projected for 12.16 points. OddsShopper gives the over a 61% chance of hitting and an expected ROI of 16%.

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Kyle Anderson under 2.5 Assists

Anderson has been inconsistent as a playmaker throughout the series. He did not record an assist in Game 5 and has totaled just eight assists in the series. Anderson is projected for 2.13 assists tonight. OddsShopper gives the under a 65% chance of hitting and an expected ROI of 4%.

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