Best NBA Bets Today: Free Betting Picks, Predictions & Player Props 5/4

Last night saw both of the conference semifinals get evened up at one game apiece as the Boston Celtics dismantled the Milwaukee Bucks and Ja Morant poured in 47 points to lead Memphis to a 5-point victory over Golden State. Dallas and Philadelphia will look to do just the same in Game 2. However, unlike the Celtics and Grizzlies, both teams are on the road. The 76ers and Heat will get things started with a 7:30 p.m. ET tip off while the Mavs and Suns are slated to get underway at 10 p.m. ET. TNT will once again broadcast each contest.

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This daily NBA article will examine the best betting picks and NBA player prop bets today. With OddsShopper, bettors can maximize their profits and see the best chances with the highest expected return on investment. OddsShopper can find which sportsbooks offer the best prices for these prop bets. The following are the best NBA bets for May 4.

Best NBA Bets and Player Props Today

Heat vs. 76ers Under 207.5 Points

Miami should go up 2-0 as they will probably roll as they did in Game 1, winning 106-92. However, the Heat have several injury concerns. So, until a decision on who plays for Miami, the best bet is to go with the under.

Philadelphia was stymied offensively in Game 1 without Joel Embiid, who will miss his second straight game with a concussion. The 76ers shot 43% from the field and just six of 34 from the 3-point line in the series-opening setback. More significantly, the Sixers also attempted only 20 free throws. They averaged 25 tries from the charity stripe during round one and 31 free throw attempts per game since the All-Star break. Embiid and James Harden accounted for 17 of those 25 free throw attempts.

The 76ers were decent on the defensive end in Game 1, holding the Heat to 43.5% from the field as well as 25% from long distance. The Sixers are sixth in defensive efficiency in the postseason.

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With Embiid out, Miami knew their job would be easier defensively as they would only have to lock in on three players instead of four. While Tobias Harris had a sensational game, the Heat did a fabulous job on Tyrese Maxey and Harden as they held that duo to 11 of 28 shooting from the field in the series opener. The Heat rank second in the postseason in defensive ratings at 103.1., limiting opponents to an effective field goal percentage of 50.1%.

Moreover, four of the five meetings this year and five of six overall have seen fewer than 207 points put on the board.

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Suns Spread (-6) Over Mavericks

Phoenix coasted to an easy win in Game 1 though the Mavericks did try to make things interesting down the stretch. The Suns were sizzling in the first half offensively as they put up 69 points in the opening 24 minutes. They led by as many as 19 in the fourth quarter before Dallas made a late run to trim the deficit to six. The Suns shot slightly better than 50% from the field for the game. Deandre Ayton led six Suns players in double figures with 25 points on 12 of 20 shooting from the field. Meanwhile, Luka Doncic carried the Mavericks offensively with 45 points.

Ayton has been dominant throughout the playoffs and the Mavs have no answer for him. Ayton has scored in double figures and grabbed at least seven rebounds in all seven games, which includes tallying at least 19 points on six occasions. He averages 21.1 points. 9.8 rebounds, 2.1 assists and 1.1 blocks for the playoffs. Devin Booker struggled shooting the ball in Game 1, but still finished with 23 points. Chris Paul, Mikal Bridges and Cameron Johnson have all shot the ball well during the postseason. Overall, the Suns are averaging nearly 113 points while connecting on 52% of their field goal attempts.

Dallas is 4-3 during the playoffs. The Mavericks have shot the ball alright, but they have really been effective from deep. The Mavs are averaging nearly 16 3’s a game while making them at a 37.6% clip. Doncic is making 3.8 3-pointers per contest and averaging 33 points. Maxi Kleber is shooting 53.3% from beyond the arc.

Phoenix is the league’s best home team, posting a 35-10 record with a plus-6.5 scoring margin. Moreover, the Suns have won each of their four matchups against the Mavericks with each victory coming by at least 7 points. OddsShopper gives Phoenix a 73% chance of winning the game and a 53% chance of covering.

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