This daily NBA betting article will examine the best betting picks and NBA player props each day. Using the Awesemo NBA Player Props Betting Tool, bettors can maximize their profits and see the best bets with the highest expected return on investment NBA betting today. Also, bettors can use OddsShopper to find which sportsbooks are offering the best prices for these prop bets. Here are the six best NBA betting picks and player props for tonight’s small three-game slate.
NBA Betting Picks & Best Player Props Tonight
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James Harden Over 7.5 Rebounds
Harden is the Brooklyn Nets‘ leading rebounder at nearly eight a game, and he garners a team-high 13.4 opportunities. He has reached double-digit rebounds on eight occasions this year and has recorded at least seven in each of his last five games. Harden should have plenty of opportunities to pad his stats against the Dallas Mavericks. Brooklyn has been solid defensively the entire season, and the Nets are holding opponents to 43% shooting from the field over the last 10 games. Moreover, the Mavericks are among the worst rebounding teams and are hauling down a league-worst 46.4% of all available boards over the last 10 contests. Harden is projected for 8.48 rebounds. OddsShopper gives the over a 62% chance of hitting and an expected ROI of 30%.
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Patty Mills Over 12.5 Points
Mills has been shooting the ball exceptionally well lately. He has canned at least two 3-pointers in 10 straight games and has reached double figures in eight of those contests, including hitting 20 points on five occasions. Mills has produced 17.1 points and made 4.4 3-pointers while shooting 53.6% from the field and 50.6% from beyond the arc during this stretch.
Mills could have another big game tonight, as the Mavericks have had difficulty guarding opposing teams’ shooting guards, particularly from beyond the arc. Opposing shooting guards are averaging 20 points and nearly three 3-pointers a game while knocking down those shots at a 39% clip. Mills is projected for 13.55 points. The over has a 60% chance of hitting and an expected ROI of 10%.
Russell Westbrook Under 8.5 Rebounds
Westbrook has played better lately, but he is still not in peak form. He has shot and distributed the ball well while limiting turnovers over the last 10 games. However, his rebounding has tailed off with Anthony Davis, Talen Horton-Tucker and LeBron James in the lineup. Westbrook averaged 6.6 rebounds over his last 10 games, which is nearly 1 1/2 fewer boards than his season mark. He only grabbed four rebounds against the Celtics in the teams’ first meeting of the season. Westbrook is projected for 7.52 rebounds tonight. OddsShopper gives the under a 67% chance of hitting and an expected ROI of 20%.
Al Horford Over 12.5 Points
Horford holds an 18.9% usage rate on the season and has a pretty good matchup against the Lakers tonight. Horford has reached double figures in eight of his last 10 appearances, including tossing in a season-high 21 points against Utah on Friday. Meanwhile, opposing centers have beaten up the Lakers over the previous three games, as they are allowing 23.7 points on 71.8% shooting from the field and 80% from the 3-point line. Horford is for projected for 14.8 points tonight and went for 18 points against Los Angeles in the teams’ first meeting. The over has a 63% chance of hitting with an expected ROI of 19%.
Dejounte Murray Over 7.5 Rebound & 7.5 Assists
A leading candidate for the NBA’s Most Improved Player Award, Murray has been tremendous for the Spurs. Murray has improved different aspects of his game each, but he has probably grown the most this season. He is now a threat from beyond the arc, and he has become better at creating for others. Murray has always been a strong rebounder for his position and size.
Murray averaged 9.4 rebounds over his last 10 appearances, as he has posted double-digit boards in six of those games. Meanwhile, the Knicks do not do a good job keeping opposing point guards off the glass. Murray is projected for 8.82 rebounds tonight. OddsShopper gives the over a 75% chance at hitting and an expected ROI of 28%. Murray is also projected for 8.08 assists. He has a substantial usage percentage (27.8%) and assist rate (28.7%). Furthermore, Murray has dished out at least eight assists in three of his last four outings and five of seven overall. The over has a 62% chance of hitting and an expected ROI of 29%.
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