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How to Bet NBA Player Props Tonight: John Collins & Jayson Tatum | 12/22/21




This daily NBA betting article will examine the best betting picks and NBA player props each day. Using the Awesemo NBA Player Props Betting against Tool, bettors can maximize their profits and see the best bets with the highest expected return on investment NBA betting today. Also, bettors can use OddsShopper to find which sportsbooks are offering the best prices for these prop bets. For the fourth straight day, the NBA has had to postpone a game due to COVID as the Raptors-Bulls game has been canceled. Therefore, there will be five games on the docket. The following are the eight best bets.

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Ivica Zubac Over 10.5 Points

This is a very appealing prop bet with +100 odds. Zubac continues to have games where he is an absolute non-factor on the offensive end despite having the most efficient season of his career. He has scored in double figures in just three of his last seven outings and is averaging 9.4 points while shooting 67.1% from the floor in December. Zubac has played well against the Kings this year, hitting double figures in scoring in the previous two games. He tallied 12 points in the game in Sacramento and has averages of 14.5 points, nine rebounds and one blocks in 26.5 minutes of action against the Kings this year.

Zubac is projected for 12.46 points tonight, as opposing centers have had a pretty easy time scoring against Sacramento. The Kings have allowed centers to make 56.1% of their shot attempts and attempt six free throws a game. OddsShopper gives the over 63% chance of hitting and an expected ROI of 24%.

John Collins Under 20.5 Points & Under 9.5 Rebounds

These two Collins bets are very intriguing, as they could be very profitable if they hit, particularly if you parlay them. Atlanta has not played since Friday due to a COVID outbreak within the team. The Hawks will be without Trae Young, Clint Capela and Danilo Gallinari, while Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot (questionable) and Bogdan Bogdanovic (ankle) could play tonight.

Collins has had tremendous success against the Magic in the two previous meetings, averaging 22.5 points and 6.5 rebounds, and 2.5 assists. He has connected on 14 of 26 attempts from the field in those outings. However, with both the Magic and Hawks having several key players missing tonight’s game, there are a lot of unknowns. So while Awesemo’s projections have Collins finishing with nearly 19 points, which would be under the prop, the rebound prop is slightly better. OddsShopper gives the scoring prop a 60% hitting and an expected ROI of 24%.

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Collins has posted double-doubles in each of his last two games, including going for 21 and 10 against the Magic last Wednesday, but he has not rebounded the ball well this year. Collins is averaging a career-low 9.5 rebounds per 40 minutes, as he collects just 13.2% of all available boards. Moreover, Orlando has done a pretty good job all year at keeping opposing power forwards off the glass, and they allowed them to grab just 9.2 a game over the last 10. Collins is projected for 8.43 rebounds, with OddsShopper giving the under a 68% chance of hitting. The expected ROI is a solid 30%.

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Nikola Jokic Under 28.5 Points

Jokic is shooting and scoring the most efficiently he ever has, averaging 1.50 points per shot and a career-high effective field goal percentage of 64% on 17.5 attempts a game. He has topped the 20-point mark in six straight games and is averaging 26.4 points on 58.3 % shooting in December. However, Oklahoma City has done a fantastic job limiting opposing centers’ effectiveness. The Thunder have not allowed a center to score over 20 points this month, and they are limiting the position to 18.5 points on 53% shooting over the past 10 games. Jokic is projected for 26.18 points tonight, with OddsShopper giving the under a 68% chance of hitting. The expected ROI is 23%.

Bogdan Bogdanovic Over 12.5 Points

As long as his ankle does not give him any problems, Bogdanovic should be able to go tonight against the Magic. It would be his first action in about a month. Bogdanovic has not been very efficient, but he is shooting over 39% from beyond the arc. He should be heavily involved in the offense against the Magic with the Hawks being short-handed. Bogdanovic projected for 14.67 points and dropped 20 points against the Magic in the team’s first meeting of the year, as he drained 4 3-pointers and was 7-for-11 from the field. OddsShopper gives the over a 67% chance of hitting and an expected ROI of 28%.

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Jayson Tatum Under 29.5 Points

The prop seems too high. Tatum is shooting the best he has all year this month, but he has connected on just 14 of 38 shot attempts over the last two games. He has seen his point total decline over the previous three games and averaged 22.5 points on 35.7% shooting from the field and 18.8% from the 3-point line in two games against the Cavaliers. Tatum is projected for 26.27 and has not scored over 23 points in either of the two games against the Cavaliers. OddsShopper gives the under a 68% chance of hitting and an expected ROI of 25%.

Kevin Huerter Under 4.5 Rebounds

This prop seems too high. Huerter has not averaged more than 4.1 rebounds in his first three seasons and is only averaging 3.3 rebounds a game this season. Furthermore, he has hauled in three or fewer rebounds in four straight game and in 10 of his last 13 games. Huerter is projected for 3.82 rebounds tonight. OddsShopper gives the under a 67% chance of hitting and an expected ROI of 17%.

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