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The 5 Most Profitable NBA Player Props Today: Larry Nance Jr. & Kemba Walker | 12/31/21




This daily NBA betting article will examine the best betting picks and NBA player props each day. Using the Awesemo NBA Player Props Betting against Tool, bettors can maximize their profits and see the best bets with the highest expected return on investment NBA betting today. Also, bettors can use OddsShopper to find which sportsbooks are offering the best prices for these prop bets. The five best bets for tonight’s slate of 10 games are the following. There are two afternoon games with the Celtics hosting the Suns and the Bulls playing in Indiana. Cleveland is the only team playing the second of back-to-back games.

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NBA Betting Picks & Best Player Props Today

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Harrison Barnes Over 14.5 Points

Barnes will look to close out 2021 on a high note against Dallas. Barnes has scored in double figures in eight straight games and 10 of 12, but he is producing a season-low 14.5 points a game on 39.8% shooting from the field in December. He contributed 14 points and six rebounds in the Kings’ 95-94 victory over the Mavericks on Wednesday.

Barnes has been very efficient in scoring the basketball this year. He is averaging a career-best 1.46 points per shot due to his ability to get the free-throw line, garnering a career-high 5.5 attempts. Barnes has been even better in both areas at home, averaging 17.7 points and 6.3 free throws a game.

Barnes has not shot the ball well in the two previous games against the Mavericks. Still, he has compiled 29 points against the Mavericks, with 20 of those points coming either in the paint (12) or at the free-throw line (8). Dallas allows the eighth-most paint points in the league. Barnes is projected for 16.55 points tonight. OddsShopper gives the over a 65% chance of hitting and an expected ROI of 31%.

Royce O’Neale Under 8.5 Points

This prop seems to be a touch too high. O’Neal is not much of a factor on the offensive end, with most of his points coming in transition or from beyond the arc. He has recorded a usage percentage of 10.1% on the season and attempts fewer than six shots a game. Moreover, O’Neale has not scored more than 5 points in six straight games, as he has connected on just 10 of his last 33 attempts (30.3%), including 5-for-21 (23.8%) from beyond the arc.

O’Neale tallied 5 points against the Timberwolves last week at Vivant Arena and averages 7 points on 55.6% shooting from the field and 42.9% from long distance in two games against them this season. He has not shot the ball at home this year. Besides, Minnesota has given up the fourth-fewest points to opposing power forwards this year and has limited that position to 15.5 points on 41.1% shooting from the field over the last 10 games. O’Neale is projected for 7.15 points tonight. OddsShopper gives the under a 65% chance of hitting and an expected ROI of 23%.

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Larry Nance Jr. Over 10.5 Points and Over 8.5 Rebounds

Portland is severely short-handed, particularly in the frontcourt, as Jusuf Nurkic, Robert Covington, Trendon Watford and Cody Zeller have already been declared out for the game against the Lakers. Nance is coming off an outstanding all-around game against the Jazz on Wednesday, where he put up 14 points, nine assists and nine rebounds in 32 minutes of action. He has been much more aggressive on the offensive end the last two games, attempting 24 shots. Nance has scored in double figures in four of his last five outings while also hauling down 38 rebounds. Los Angeles has allowed 23.2 points and 14.9 rebounds to opposing centers over the previous 10 games. Seven frontcourt players have scored at least 13 points, and six of them have pulled down nine or more rebounds against them during this stretch. Nance is projected for 11.36 points and 9.78 rebounds tonight. OddsShopper gives the plus-money (+100 odds) point total to go over the prop a 58% chance of hitting and an expected ROI of 16%. Meanwhile, OddsShopper likes the over on the rebound total a little more, with a 66% chance of hitting and an expected ROI of 25%.

Kemba Walker Under 19.5 Points

It looks like Walker’s magnificent resurgence is over. He was superb after returning to the Knicks rotation after serving nearly a month in Tom Thibodeau’s doghouse, but New York is healthier. Julius Randle will not be available tonight, and Evan Fournier is questionable. That said, while Walker will still have an occasional big game, but it will not be tonight. He was a nonfactor against Detroit in 20 minutes the other night and has a tough matchup against Oklahoma City. The Thunder are holding opposing point guards to 38.7% shooting from the field for the season. Walker is projected for 16.33 points. OddsShopper gives the under a 73% chance of hitting and an expected ROI of 34%.

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