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How to Bet NBA Player Props Tonight: Mike Conley & Reggie Jackson | 12/20/21




This daily NBA betting article will examine the best betting picks and NBA player props each day. Using the Awesemo NBA Player Props Betting against Tool, bettors can maximize their profits and see the best bets with the highest expected return on investment NBA betting today. Also, bettors can use OddsShopper to find which sportsbooks are offering the best prices for these prop bets. With the Raptors-Magic contest postponed due to COVID breakthroughs, there are six games on the docket. Here are the four best bets for tonight.

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Mike Conley Over 12.5 Points & Under 6.5 Assists

Charlotte is the worst defensive team in the league, with a rating of 114.9. The Hornets have been even worse on that end of the floor lately, as they have given up nearly 125 points over the last 10 games. They have allowed their opponents to shoot 51.2% from the field during this 10-game stretch. By the same token, Utah is the most efficient offense, and they have upped their production recently. As such, expect the Jazz to put up a lot of points.

While the Hornets have done a relatively good job defensively on opposing point guards, comparatively speaking, Conley is in a good spot to go over the scoring prop. Conley is shooting the ball better than he ever has as a member of the Jazz. He also has been much more assertive offensively over the last four games, averaging nearly 13 shot attempts a game. Conley has scored in double figures in six of his last seven games and averages 14 points in December while shooting 45.5% from the field and 50% from the 3-point line. Half of Conley’s 11.4 shot attempts this month has come from long distance, which could be problematic for Charlotte, as opposing point guards are draining 3.6 3-pointers a game at 45.6% accuracy over their previous 10 games. Conley is projected for 14.52 points tonight. OddsShopper gives the over a 66% chance of hitting and an expected ROI of 17%.

While the over on points is strong, the under seems to be just as good a bet. Conley has a usage rate of around 20%, although he is seeing just 28 minutes of court time this year. He averages 5.5 assists a game for the year and has doled out seven or more assists just three times in the last 12 games. Conley is projected for 5.80 assists a game. OddsShopper gives the under a 66% chance of hitting and an expected ROI of 18%.

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Reggie Jackson Under 19.5 Points

This bet depends on Paul George (questionable) being able to play as hoped. George has missed the last five games with an elbow injury. Jackson has been inconsistent as a scorer lately, and he is shooting just 37.3% from the field and 27.9% from beyond the arc in December. He is projected for 17.59 points tonight against San Antonio. OddsShopper gives the under a 64% chance of hitting and an expected ROI of 22%.

Terrence Mann Under 12.5 Points

This prop is better than Jackson’s as long as George plays. If George does not give it a go, this prop does not have the same value, as Mann has failed to score in double figures in each of his last four games that he has not started. He averages 9.5 points a game and a 15.3 % usage rate in games in which he is not among the starting five. Mann is projected for 11.22 points tonight. OddsShopper gives the under a 62% chance of hitting and an expected ROI of 18%.

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