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How to Bet NBA Player Props Tonight: Nikola Jokic & Aaron Gordon Betting Picks | 12/1/21




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This daily NBA betting article will examine the best betting picks and NBA player props each day. Using the Awesemo NBA Player Props Betting Tool, bettors can maximize their profits and see the best bets with the highest expected return on investment NBA betting today. Also, bettors can use OddsShopper to find which sportsbooks are offering the best prices for these prop bets. Here are the six best NBA betting picks and player props for tonight’s nine-game slate.

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NBA Betting Picks & Best Player Props Tonight

Finding the most profitable NBA betting picks and player props have never been easier. The newly updated OddsShopper is like the Amazon of sports betting. Simply filter, sort the page and find the best bets within seconds, as seen below.

Jeff Green Over 11.5 Points

Green has played arguably his best basketball of the season lately, as he has shot the ball exceptionally well. Green has scored 70 points on 59% (26-for-44) shooting from the field and 47% (8-for-17) shooting from the 3-point line over the last four games. He has benefited from Nikola Jokic and JaMychal Green missing action during this span. While Jokic returned for the Nuggets last game against Miami, JaMychal Green is questionable for tonight’s game against Orlando due to a sprained elbow. Regardless, Orlando is one of the worst defensive teams in the league, and they allow the most points to opposing power forwards.

Moreover, Orlando’s big men have had difficulty defending the 3-point line lately, as opposing power forwards have connected on 3.8 3-pointers per game at a 40.7% clip. Green has a reasonable usage rate of 16.9% on the season and is projected for 13.71 points tonight. The over has a 68% chance of hitting and an expected ROI of 31%.

Tim Hardaway Jr. Under 16.5 Points

Hardaway is projected for 14.61 points tonight against New Orleans. Hardaway has yet to fully break out of his season-long shooting slump, and he has struggled mightily lately. He has failed to score at least 17 points in five of his last eight games and is shooting just 33% (40-for-121) from the field and 23.5% (12-for-51) from beyond the arc during this stretch. The Pelicans have done a good job at limiting opposing shooting guards’ effectiveness at home, as they have done an excellent job at running them off the 3-point line. In 10 games in Smoothie King Arena, opposing shooting guards are hitting just 39.1% of shots and 31.8% (2.1-for-6.6) from long distance. OddsShopper gives the under a 65% chance of hitting and an expected ROI of 19%.

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Al Horford Over 6.5 Rebounds

Horford is rebounding the ball the best he has in years. He has hauled in 15.6% of all available rebounds on the season, including 6.1% on the offensive end and 24.8% on the defensive end. Horford has grabbed double-figure rebounds in three of his last five games. He is projected for 7.97 rebounds tonight. He should have plenty of opportunities to hit the boards against the 76ers, as the Celtics are one of the worst shooting teams in the league and the 76ers are one of the worst rebounding teams. Opposing centers have 16 rebounds against Philadelphia over the last five outings, with Mo Bamba (17), Karl-Anthony Towns (10) and Jusuf Nurkic (11) each reaching double figures. OddsShopper gives the over a 70% chance of hitting and an expected ROI of 53%.

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Mo Bamba Over 7.5 Rebounds

Bamba has rebounded the ball really well, and he has an outstanding matchup against Jokic and the Nuggets. Bamba is coming off a 17-rebound effort on Monday against Philadelphia and has grabbed at least nine rebounds in six of his last 10 games. He averaged a rebound every three minutes in November. Bamba is projected for 9.42 rebounds tonight. Denver has allowed opposing centers to grab 14.5 rebounds a game on the season, although that number has increased to 17.5 over the last five. The over has a 74% chance of hitting and an expected ROI of 34%.

Aaron Gordon Over 5.5 Rebounds

Gordon has done an excellent job on the offensive glass this year. He is bringing in a career-high two offensive rebounds a game. Gordon has been the Nuggets’ second-best rebounder over the last 10 games, as he has averaged 6.2 rebounds in 10.5 chances. He is projected for 7.51 rebounds tonight as he should have plenty of opportunities as the young Magic have struggled on the offensive end all year. Orlando has the second-worst home effective field goal percentage at 46.6%. OddsShopper gives the over a 76% chance of hitting and an expected ROI of 36%.

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Nikola Jokic Over 11.5 Rebounds

Jokic is on pace for a career year, and he is rebounding the ball at an unprecedented personal level. Jokic averages a career-best 13.7 boards, as he gets an amazing 22.3 rebounding opportunities a game. He is second in the NBA in defensive rebound percentage (37.5%) and fourth in total rebound percentage (23.3%). Jokic is projected for 13.5 rebounds tonight. The over has a 71% chance of hitting and an expected ROI of 23%.

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