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How to Bet NBA Player Props Tonight: Nikola Jokic & Will Barton | 12/6/21




This daily NBA betting article will examine the best betting picks and NBA player props each day. Using the Awesemo NBA Player Props Betting Tool, bettors can maximize their profits and see the best bets with the highest expected return on investment NBA betting today. Also, bettors can use OddsShopper to find which sportsbooks are offering the best prices for these prop bets. Here are the three best NBA betting picks and player props for tonight’s six-game slate.

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NBA Betting Picks & Best Player Props Tonight

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Nikola Jokic Under 27.5 Points

Jokic has been balling lately and is on pace to have the best season of his relatively young career. Jokic topped the 30-point mark for the fourth time since the calendar turned to November, as he put up 32 points on 14-for-19 shooting from the field and 3-for-7 from the 3-point line on Saturday. He averages 27.6 points and 1.6 3-pointers on 18 shot attempts while posting a shooting slash line of .581/.367/.761 over his last 11 games. However, Chicago has done an outstanding job defensively on opposing centers, particularly over the previous 10 games. The Bulls have held the opposing teams’ centers to 19.1 points on 47.7% shooting from the field and 3.7 3-point attempts during this stretch.

Moreover, Joel Embiid is the only center to score over 27 points against the Bulls this year. Jokic is projected for 23.86 points tonight. OddsShopper gives the under a 71% chance of hitting and an expected ROI of 34%.

Keldon Johnson Over 13.5 Points

Johnson and the Spurs have a difficult game against the Suns, but Johnson is having a breakthrough season and has been very consistent lately. He has also played better on the road, averaging nearly 16 points a game while shooting 47.5% from the field and 45.9% from the 3-point line. Plus, the Suns have shown some vulnerability on the defensive end at power forward recently. Opposing power forwards average 25.2 points a game and almost three 3-pointers a game against Phoenix over the last five contests. Johnson is projected for 15.86 points tonight. OddsShopper gives the over a 67% chance of hitting and an expected ROI of 23%.

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Jakob Poeltl Over 9.5 Rebounds

Poeltl continues to do what he does best, which is rebound. He has grabbed nine or more boards in six straight games. Poeltl is projected for 9.92 rebounds tonight in a strong matchup against the Suns. Phoenix ranks in the bottom third of the league in terms of allowing rebounds to opposing centers. This past week Golden State’s Kevon Looney and Draymond Green combined for 32 rebounds over two games, while Detroit’s Isaiah Stewart collected 14 rebounds on Thursday. OddsShopper gives the over a 62% chance of hitting and an expected ROI of 34%.

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Will Barton Over 4.5 Rebounds

This prop has not moved since Michael Porter Jr. (back) has been sidelined. While Porter has been out, Barton and Aaron Gordon have had to hit the glass more ferociously. Barton is averaging six boards a game over his last 11 appearances, hauling down at least five on nine of those occasions. He is projected for 5.46 rebounds tonight. OddsShopper gives the over a 64% chance of happening with an expected ROI of 31%.

Ivica Zubac Over 7.5 Rebounds

Zubac recorded his ninth double-digit rebound game on Saturday, as he grabbed 11 boards in 29 minutes against Sacramento. He averages a rebound every 3.26 minutes, which is not a bad rate. Zubac is projected for 8.4 rebounds and should have plenty of opportunities to hit boards the glass against the Trail Blazers. Portland will be without Damon Lillard and Anfernee Simons for the game, while C.J. McCollum and Nassir Little are questionable. In the three games that Lillard has missed, opposing centers are averaging three more rebounds (16.3) a game than their season average against the Blazers. OddsShopper gives the over a 59% chance of hitting and an expected ROI of 21%.

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