Odds boosts are exactly that: Promotions from sportsbooks where they move tin your favor on certain bets. Many of them are prop bets, hoping you’ll put a few dollars on someone to hit a home run or a certain team to score a certain number of goals and still win. Our job is to highlight some of those odds boosts and give you some NFL picks to bet on, assuming it’s smart to buy into what the sportsbooks are selling. We scour the internet trying to find the best odds boosts for you every day from every sport. Today, we discuss a rare Tuesday night game in the NFL as the Tennessee Titans host the Buffalo Bills.
The Titans are finally back on the field after more than two weeks off due to a COVID-19 outbreak at their facility. They face the red-hot Bills in a battle of unbeatens in only the second Tuesday game since 1946. There is plenty of NFL odds boosts at the sportsbooks for this showdown, and there is a lot of excellent value as well. We’ll look at the props surrounding Bills quarterback Josh Allen after his sensational start to the 2020 season. We’ll also peek at the bets for Titans running back Derrick Henry and Bills wideout Stefon Diggs. And as always, you can find these bets on OddsShopper, Awesemo’s odds-shopping tool for all your betting needs.
Ben Rasa's Bet of the Day Awesemo's sports betting expert Ben Rasa pours over the day's betting lines and breaks down the best bet of the day for you to build your sports betting card around.NFL Picks | Tuesday Night Football Odds Boosts
Josh Allen
Allen entered the season facing a lot of criticism, and he’s responded with playing some of the best football among NFL quarterbacks in the first four weeks. He ranks second among NFL quarterbacks in passing yards per game at 331.5 and thus far his only interception is a questionable one that probably should have been overturned. His 12 touchdowns passes were the third most after Week 4 and the Bills have scored points on roughly half their drives this season. As for his accuracy, he’s completing roughly 71 percent of his passes and had led a pair of fourth-quarter comebacks already this season.
It’s a statistical performance that should draw a lot of attention from the sportsbooks, which is why I had to combine all of the odds boosts into one section. Allen entered the season without a 300-yard game in his career, but then topped that mark in the first three games of 2020 and fell 12 yards short last week. BetMGM is offering +150 odds that Allen will make it four of out of five games with 300-plus yards, and this is the matchup for it. Tennessee allowed Gardner Minshew to throw for 300 yards in Week 2 and Kirk Cousins threw for 251 yards on just 16 completions in Week 3.
Allen is also dangerous with his feet, though he hasn’t run nearly as often in the last three weeks after having 14 attempts against the Jets in the opener. He has, though, scored in three of the four games, oftentimes jogging into the end zone on a short-yardage pass situation or ploughing his way in behind the offensive line on the goal line. DraftKings is offering +140 odds on Allen to score a rushing touchdown tonight, and FanDuel is adding +825 odds if Allen scores the first touchdown of the game. For an added bonus, PointsBet is offering +180 odds on Allen and Ryan Tannehill combining for five or more touchdowns, which seems plausible enough to include here.
Derrick Henry Scores 2+ Touchdowns (+350 FanDuel)
The Bills will be prepared to slow down Henry, but it remains to be seen how well they will actually do. Buffalo did a good job against Las Vegas at limiting Josh Jacobs‘ effectiveness, but Darrell Henderson ripped apart the Bills defense two weeks ago. The absence of Matt Milano on the Bills defense is a major loss and should allow Tennessee to open up some running lanes for Henry. The Titans’ injury/illness situation is also a factor drawing me to this bet because Tennessee will be depleted in the passing game, which means more reliance on Henry and the ground attack.
Henry has only scored two rushing touchdowns this season, but both of those came in Tennessee’s last game against Minnesota. He is still the Titans’ best weapon and he’ll be useful against a Bills defense that hasn’t lived up to its preseason expectations as a game-changing unit. If and when Tenneessee scores, Henry will likely be a big part of the equation given the current state of the Titans roster. This seems like a chance for Henry to have another big game and stabilize the Titans offense.
Stefon Diggs 100+ Receiving Yards (+200 PointsBet)
The connection between Allen and Diggs only improved as the first quarter of the season has gone along. Diggs has gone over 100 yards receiving in two of his last three games and he’s had at least four catches in every game this season. Last we saw Tennessee on the field, Justin Jefferson torched the Titans for 175 yards from Cousins, so the Vikings were able to target one receiver and find regular success with him. Allen has done a good job spreading around the ball, especially in the red zone, but Diggs is still his primary target and will see a bulk of the passes.
Diggs has been most effective as a deep threat, something Tennessee has struggled to stop all season. He is averaging 11.5 yards per target and 15.5 yards per catch this season, and the Bills have not been afraid to take those deep shots. Diggs has been more of a yardage receiver than a scoring receiver so far this year, so I love the value in this particular wager. While I am less certain that Diggs scoring a touchdown this week, if you feel confident enough that he’ll score the first one in the game, DraftKings is offering +1135 odds on that to occur.
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