NFL Odds Boosts To Watch | Monday Night Football NFL Picks | Aaron Rodgers + Aaron Jones + Todd Gurley |

Odds boosts are exactly that: Promotions from sportsbooks where they move tin your favor on certain bets. Many of them are prop bets, hoping you’ll put a few dollars on someone to hit a home run or a certain team to score a certain number of goals and still win. Our job is to highlight some of those odds boosts and give you some NFL picks to bet on, assuming it’s smart to buy into what the sportsbooks are selling. We scour the internet trying to find the best odds boosts for you every day from every sport. Today, it’s a look at the unique Monday Night Football doubleheader.

It’s a special Monday night doubleheader thanks to COVID-19 as the game between the New England Patriots and Kansas City Chiefs was rescheduled for a 7 p.m. kickoff tonight. Meanwhile, it’s a little later than normal start time for the designated Monday Night Football game between the Green Bay Packers and Atlanta Falcons. The two games means there’s plenty of excellent bets out there for us to dissect, so let’s jump into it. As a reminder, all the bets we cover are listed on OddsShopper, Awesemo’s excellent odds-shopping tool that secures you the best odds on every wager.

 


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NFL Odds Boosts | NFL Picks + NFL Predictions

NFL Pick: Aaron Rodgers

There are so many Rodgers odds boosts on the market that I couldn’t pick just one to bring you today. Monday night at Lambeau Field tends to bring out the best in Green Bay quarterbacks, and I expect nothing different from one of the early MVP frontrunners against this Falcons defense. Atlanta ranks 31st in the league in passing yards allowed and 3oth in passing touchdowns allowed, both of which play prominent roles in the NFL odds boosts for tonight’s contest. Rodgers has thrown for nine touchdowns so far, though he’s only had to go over 300 yards passing once — the opener against Minnesota — to accomplish that.

We’ll start with the touchdown passes because there are two similar bets with one major difference that provides a swing in the odds. DraftKings offers +160 odds on Rodgers throwing for at least three touchdown passes against this Falcons defense, which seems like a good bet. But if you have enough faith in Green Bay to win at home, you can head to FanDuel, which offers +260 odds on Rodgers throwing at least three touchdown passes and the Packers winning the game. It’s a similar situation with the yardage props as BetMGM has boosted its odds to +160 on Rodgers to eclipse 300 yards tonight. PointsBet is offering -130 odds on Rodgers going over 275 passing yards, but the extra 25 yards is worth the increased payout from MGM.

However, PointsBet and DraftKings offer an intriguing wager that includes both Rodgers and Falcons quarterback Matt Ryan. For +100 odds at PointsBet, you can bet on the two quarterbacks to score five or more combined touchdowns. For slightly better +125 odds, you can wager at DraftKings that they’ll throw 4.5 or more touchdowns combined in the game. Ryan has thrown for seven touchdowns this season, and he’s been able to help the Falcons score a lot of points in the first three quarters of games. He’ll probably be able to throw one or two touchdown passes against this Green Bay defense with two of his key receivers in the lineup.

NFL Pick: Aaron Jones & Todd Gurley Score Touchdown (+200 DraftKings)

Jones has scored in each of the first three games this season, and he’s facing an Atlanta defense that has become a sieve in terms of points allowed this season. Despite not allowing many rushing yards, the Falcons have given up five rushing touchdowns this season, which certainly plays into Jones’ hands if Green Bay is running the ball more with a late lead. Gurley has scored a rushing touchdown in two of Atlanta’s three games and the Falcons might try to utilize him more in this game to keep its defense off the field. There are a lot of eyes on Ryan’s arm tonight, but Gurley can cash in on some of those red-zone chances Atlanta will earn in this game.

If you’re not as sold on that wager, there are a few other wagers around Jones that piqued my interest. If you like the Packers to beat the Falcons tonight, you can head over to PointsBet, which has -130 odds on Jones scoring a touchdown and Green Bay winning. For the riskier bettors who want to take a decent stab at a payday, you can bet on Jones to score the first touchdown of the game at FanDuel, where the odds are +440 on Jones to be the first touchdown scorer. The Packers haven’t scored the first touchdown in any of their first three games, so Green Bay is due to score first.


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NFL Pick: Patrick Mahomes Throws For 300+ Yards (+110 PointsBet)

I promised something from the Chiefs – Patriots game, and this is the one I felt most confident in, which is saying something. All of the odds boosts around this game focus on Mahomes, which I found disappointing, but they also didn’t focus on his ability to throw touchdown passes, just passing yards or rushing touchdowns. So I had to settle on this one despite New England not allowing a 300-yard passer this season.

Mahomes’ performance last Monday when he threw for 385 yards and four touchdowns against Baltimore injected me with the confidence that he could do a similar thing to New England. The Patriots traveled the day of the game to Kansas City due to precaution around COVID-19 testing, so I expect there will be some fatigue from that. New England has also been picked apart by Russell Wilson earlier this season on the road, and I think Mahomes could have a similar performance tonight.


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