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NFL Odds Shopping + NFL Picks, Best Bets: Sunday Night Football, Vikings vs Seahawks

Matt Gajewski



Sam Smith's WR vs. CB Matchups includes Top Week 6 NFL DFS picks like Adam Thielen and A.J. Brown | DraftKings + FanDuel | 10/14

After a full day of NFL action, the NFL caps off it’s first Sunday night with the Minnesota Vikings taking on the Seattle Seahawks. Starting the year 1-3, the Vikings enter this contest as 6.5-point underdogs. On the other side, the Seahawks will look to continue their undefeated season with a home win over the visiting Vikings. Let’s get into some NFL odds shopping based off the OddShopper tool and some NFL picks and best bets for Sunday Night Football, Vikings vs Seahawks.

NFL Odds Shopping + NFL Picks: Sunday Night Football Vikings vs Seahawks

Seahawks -6.5 (SugarHouse)

Getting the least amount of juice (-104) at SugarHouse, the Seahawks look like a strong play on Monday Night Football. The Seahawks now return home after traveling across country to play the Miami Dolphins last week. With Minnesota on deck, the Seahawks hold a number of offensive advantages, pointing to them covering the spread in this spot.

First, Russell Wilson and the Seahawks have embraced the pass more than in years past. Wilson currently leads the NFL with 9.4 yards per attempt, while completing 75.2% of his passes. The Vikings lost four starting defensive backs las offseason. On top of allowed 8.4 yards per pass attempt (second-worst), the Vikings also enter this game with starting corner Holton Hill as questionable.

With a full stable of weapons to take advantage of this mismatch, DK Metcalf and Tyler Lockett should run wild in this matchup. Both receivers have target shares north of 20% , projecting to give Minnesota’s weakened defense fits.

With the Seahawks taking advantage of their home field and a banged-up Vikings’ team, Seattle remains a best bet ahead of Sunday Night Football.

Adam Thielen – Over 77.5 Receiving Yards (DraftKings)

Available on a couple of sportsbooks, Adam Thielens’s receiving yardage prop sits egregiously low at 77.5 yards. Awesemo’s player projections currently peg Thielen for 99.2 receiving yards, making his prop the best bet in this matchup.

Equally as banged up as Minnesota, Seattle’s defense currently projects to play without Jamal Adams, Neiko Thorpe, Rasheem Green, Bruce Irvin, and Marquise Blair. Making maters worse, Quinton Dunbar and Lano Hill enter this game with the questionable tag. Seattle’s secondary already allows 8.0 yards per pass attempt (fifth-worst).

As for Thielen, his 33.0% target share ranks third overall entering Week 5 of the NFL season. One of the biggest mispricing in the Sunday Night Slate, hitting the over on Thielen’s receiving prop remains a best bet.

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Matt Gajewski graduated from the University of Wisconsin with a degree in Economics. Matt has worked in the fantasy industry for the past four years, focusing on DFS and Sports Betting. Matt specializes in NFL, College Football, College Basketball, XFL, and MMA. With GPP victories across the major sports, Matt also qualified for the DraftKings 2020 Sports Betting Championship and won a seat to the College Basketball Tourney Mania final.