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Week 8 Thursday Night Football NFL Picks + Odds Boosts | Robby Anderson + Julio Jones

Josh Walfish



Josh Walfish gives his free Week 8 Thursday Night Football NFL picks and analyzes the best NFL odds boosts for Robby Anderson + Julio Jones

Odds boosts are exactly that: Promotions from sportsbooks where they move tin your favor on certain bets. Many of them are prop bets, hoping you’ll put a few dollars on someone to hit a home run or a certain team to score a certain number of goals and still win. Our job is to highlight some of those odds boosts and give you some NFL picks to bet on, assuming it’s smart to buy into the NFL odds the sportsbooks are selling. We scour the internet trying to find the best odds boosts for you every day from every sport. Today, it’s a Thursday Night Football showdown between the Atlanta Falcons and the Carolina Panthers.

These two divisional rivals met just 18 short days ago, with the Panthers defeating the Falcons in Atlanta, but they have gone on separate paths since then. It proved to be Dan Quinn’s final game as Atlanta’s coach, and the Panthers have lost two straight since that victory. The game a few weeks ago was a low-scoring contest, and I expect much of the same tonight. This is why I have opted against any of the odds boosts around the quarterbacks and scoring, and focused on yards gained for these picks. As always, you can find these bets and many others for tonight’s game on OddsShopper, Awesemo’s fantastic odds-shopping tool.


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Week 8 Thursday Night Football NFL Picks + NFL Odds Boosts

NFL Picks: Robby Anderson 100+ Receiving Yards (+180 DraftKings)

Atlanta ranks second to last in the NFL in passing yards allowed, and Teddy Bridgewater threw for 300 yards in the last meeting. Anderson has been excellent this season for Carolina and grabbed more than 100 receiving yards in the previous matchup. He’s had a respectable 75.5 yards per game the last two weeks against better teams, and he is still edging out D.J. Moore for targets this season. Anderson and Moore are both in for big nights tonight against this Falcons secondary as they continue their strong play this season.

The Falcons have allowed at least one 100-yard receiver in five of their seven games this season. The two games they didn’t, two receivers had at least 90 receiving yards. So the chances are good that the Falcons will allow at least one of Carolina’s receivers to rake in at least 100 receiving yards. Moore has threatened the 100-yard plateau in the last three games, but he’s only exceeded it once this season. Meanwhile, Anderson has three 100-yard games this year, and his advantage in targets and receptions makes him the safer pick to go over 100 yards tonight.

I went with the bet I was more confident in for the headline, but FanDuel has the same prop on its odds boost with a small caveat. FanDuel is offering +500 odds on Anderson to go over 100 receiving yards with Carolina also winning the game. I think the Panthers defense has been excellent this season given the circumstances, and the Panther passing attack has been pretty good this year. Combined, I like the chances of this prop hitting, but Atlanta has been playing better recently, which is why I stayed away from making this the headliner.

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NFL Picks: Julio Jones 75+ Receiving Yards (+110 PointsBet)

Jones has returned from injury a different receiver these past two weeks. He caught eight passes for 137 yards in the win over Minnesota then followed it up last week with eight catches for 97 yards against Detroit. The connection between Jones and Matt Ryan is again at full force, though it will be challenged by this Panthers defense. Jones didn’t play when these two teams met a few weeks ago, but he averages 92.7 receiving yards per game in 15 games against Carolina in his career. Despite Calvin Ridley‘s resurgence this season, Jones is still Ryan’s top option in the passing game after developing such a strong chemistry during their careers.

The Panthers rank 10th in passing yards allowed this season, and they’ve allowed just two teams to throw for more than 240 yards against them in seven games this year. Atlanta had just 207 passing yards in the last meeting, with more than 65 percent of that total going to Ridley. Jones certainly provides more balance to the Falcons’ passing attack, but he’s also the type of receiver who can carry the passing game himself. He will eat into Ridley’s targets for sure, but Jones is also more difficult to defend one-on-one ,and his skill set still makes him one of the game’s elite receivers. Carolina might be a good passing defense, but there are still plenty of holes for one star receiver to shine.

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