Connect with us
TVG

PGA

Fantasy Golf: PGA DFS The Winning Element Picks & Preview for the John Deere ClassicPremium content

Jason Rouslin

Published

on

Collin Morikawa goes bogey free 66 at the Sony Open

All of my PGA DFS content is geared toward providing information that will help you make all your fantasy golf and wagering decisions in the best way possible. This is the last of our week-long material. It’s the pinnacle of where my research has taken me over the week and the culmination of the other three articles.

I am primarily a GPP player and enjoy making 100-150 lineups, so the allocations I give out are likely not exact, but they are my target for the mass entry GPPs.

Article index

  • Key/Legend
  • Last week recap
  • TV schedule and Weather update
  • My entire player pool
  • Personal favorites
  • Notes on the chalkiest players
  • #NarrativeStreet

Key/Legend

The following sections define who will play and what recommended allocation you should play them at:

  • Core: These golfers are the ones we will start with every lineup. At least three from our core will be in every one of our lineups.
  • PF’s: We all have “our” guys, and these are ours. They will be in the player pool at a minimum of 20%. I have xix – and they are quite common. Tiger Woods, Patrick Cantlay, Jordan Spieth, Bryson Dechambeau, Brian Harman, and Kevin Tway.
  • Chalk Zone: These golfers are expected to be the most popular golfers of the week. These players, are supposed to be widely owned, and so, in a MASSIVE GPP, a winning lineup likely won’t have more than one of the guys listed in this area.
  • Alternates: On the PGA Tour, alternates are lucky to get in the field each week. However, it happens every week, due to injuries, thus the need for them. In this section, we’ll identify a few lineup “alternates” that can help fill a lineup and still provide some decent upside.
  • #NarrativeStreet: These golfers must fit one of the following criteria: 1. Live in the area of golf course 2. From the area of the golf course 3. Have something to play for (i.e., exemptions into Majors or chasing a PGA Tour card)
  • Recommended Allocation: The % of time said golfer should be in your lineups. Or at least what we are advocating.
  • Projected Ownership: The % that the field will have said golfer in their lineups.
  • Variance: The difference between Recommended Allocation and Projected Ownership. A favorable variance gives you leverage.
  • CH: Course History.
  • RF: Recent Form.
  • Sprinkles: Guys that may make one or two lineups at the most.
  • Higher Dollar: contests with buy-in amounts over $100.
  • MME: Multiple mass entries usually price range is $3,5,7,33,44.
  • EW: Equal-weight to the expected ownership.
  • OW: Overweight the expected ownership.
  • UW: Underweight the expected ownership.

Last Week Article Recap

So I got MDF’d…hardcore. I was sitting pretty with 6/6 on DK in the 2120, and everyone who beat me had someone who snuck in at -3. Ugh. Fanduel was the best result I’ve had in a very long time. It had been trending that way so glad to see it pay off finally. Good week up about 11%.

 

 

Tournament TV and Weather Update

 

Thursday:

Friday:

TV

It looks like it’s going to be 3-6 EST on Golf Channel Thursday and Friday, 1-245 EST on the weekend before switching over to CBS.

Featured Groups:

 

 

Entire Player Pool

Player Focus and Weekly Entries

Stats for the following recommendations:

  • Total golfers in core:
  • Fringe:
  • Alternates:
  • Sprinkles:
  • Chalk-Zone golfers:
  • Total:

*Note: Core, fringe and an occasional ChalkZone golfer will make up my larger dollar player pool.

Weekly DFS GPP Entries-

(3) 444 Pressure Putt                 (2) 333 Monster

(3) 150 Driving Range              (150) 9.99 eagle

(1) 100 Long Drive                   (150) 3 stinger

(5) 44 Club twirl

(150) 5 drive the green

(1) Beverage Cart

(1) Country Club

Core (salary: high to low) 

These golfers will meet one of the two following criteria:

  • Total Allocation in MME greater than 30% on either site
  • Total Bankroll Allocation of entered lineups greater than 30% (i.e., fading certainly players in MME formats but rostering them in the higher dollar by ins or cash game contests)

A check in on some start studded prospects: *An Update

Wolff wins… Crazy stuff going on with these kids. Remember 377 is needed for full membership, 266 is needed to get into the 125-150 category earning you unlimited sponsor invites for the remainder of the year where you have to earn 120 or so points.

I’l be playing plenty of both all of them this week, with the least amount of exposure going to Wolff.

My Core this week: 

Daniel Berger ($9,300/$11,100)

A theme that I like to focus on is golfers that are gaining strokes everywhere, as it tends to lead to good finishes right? Well, he fit’s this mold gaining strokes everywhere last week, while lagging a bit behind with his irons. He also finished fifth here in 2017, and Berger is one of those play on Berger courses. Last year he was injured during this time, so he wasn’t able to play, but this should be a good spot for Daniel to get back to top tier golf.

  • Ownership Projection
    • Awesemo: 10
    • Jason: 8
  • Allocation:
    • $2120
    • 30-$5

 

Sam Burns ($9,100/$10,700)

 

If Sam made a couple of putts on Saturday his Sunday could have looked a lot different. Still his first top 10 in quite some time, now it’s all about maintaining that form. He has to feel rather confident coming in knowing he’s one of the favorites to win the tournament. He, like Berger above, will need to pick up his iron play if he wants to win the tournament, but just a tad uptick and he’ll be in contention come Sunday yet again.

  • Ownership Projection
    • Awesemo: 11
    • Jason: 10
  • Allocation:
    • $2120
    • 30%-$5

 

Kevin Tway ($8,900/$10,200)

A recent PGA Tour winner, Tway had a rough patch in the middle of the season but has come back on as of late with a top 5 three weeks ago. He then missed the cut the following week in Detroit, but only because of his putting losing almost 4 strokes over the first two days, his only two days there. After a week off he comes to TPC Deere Run whree he’s made the cut in each of three tires with one 12th place finish in 2017. That’s the consistency I need for my 5th or 6th guy in the lineup this week.

  • Ownership Projection
    • Awesemo: 11
    • Jason: 10
  • Allocation:
    • $777
    • 30%-$5

Kyle Stanley ($8,800/$10,600)

If you’ve read my content during the week you know I’m living or dying with this sword. His ball striking numbers look good again, and he’s got a couple of good finishes here. You’ve got to think he puts it together soon right? He ranks 112th in the FedEx Cup, one of his worst positions in quite some time.

 

Scott Brown ($8,300/$10,500)

A week after just missing out on the cut at the Rocket Mortgage, Scott found the weekend, and form, finishing in 15th while gaining strokes in all four facets of the game. Add that to his stellar record here which is four top 25’s, one top 5, and only one missed cut in the last five year’s. His ownership looks like it will be mild as well, so Brown set’s up to be one of the biggest leverage plays of the week.

  • Ownership Projection
    • Awesemo: 8
    • Jason: 8
  • Allocation:
    • $2120
    • 30%-$5

J.T Poston ($7,800/$9.700)

I feel like people forget that he was in contention to win the Rocket Mortgage a few weeks ago before an abysmal round set him back into a T11. I’m ok jumping right back in, especially on a course that isn’t demanding off the tee, and he can use his wedge game to his advantage. He’s made the cut each of his two attempts, but his finishes were both in the mid-’60s. He’ll improve on that this week.

  • Ownership Projection
    • Awesemo: 8
    • Jason: 8
  • Allocation:
    • $2120
    • 30%-$5

Adam Svensson ($6,700/$7,700)

At some point his tee to green game, which ranks in the top 5 in this field, will pay off for him. Maybe the pinnacle of it was the 15th place he finished in last week, but I’m willing to be it wasn’t. No better tournament for it to do so than the John Deere Classic where it’s one of the weakest fields of the year coming in with all the confidence he has.

Just a quick look at his statistical numbers and three times over the last four starts he’s gained more than .90 strokes on his approaches, and over 1.8 on his ball striking! That’s insanely good. One week where he keeps that up makes the cut, and match the field in putting he’ll get a top 10, and I want a piece of that when it happens.

 

“Fringe” Core Players: (13-25%)

  1. Bronson Burgoon
  2. Sam Ryder
  3. Pat Perez
  4. Doc Redman
  5. Zack Sucher
  6. Robert Streb
  7. Justin Suh

Personal Favorites

The pool of Favorites

  1. Brian Harman-  CORE PLAY!  Coming off of the top 10 at a course he loves is a great time to play Harman.
  2. Collin Morikawa- Going to play him in the $444 this week and go for the more balanced approach in 2120.
  3. Brian Stuard- around 10-15%

Alternates: Ownership Allocation 10-20%

From Top to bottom bold = closer to 20% than 10%

  1. Martin Laird
  2. Peter Malnati
  3. Talor Gooch
  4. Cameron Champ
  5. Joey Garber
  6. Sepp Straka
  7. John Catlin
  8. Austen Truslow
  9. Chris Couch
  10. Dylan Meyer

Sprinkles: Under 10% Allocation

  1. Alex Prugh
  2. Austin Cook
  3. Johnson Wagner
  4. Brice Garnett
  5. Roger Sloan
  6. Hank Lebioda
  7. Andres Romero
  8. Adam Long
  9. Russell Henley
  10. Ted Potter, Jr.
  11. Chad Champbell
  12. Satoshi Kodaira

Chalk-zone

EW: Equal Weight to Projected Ownership

OW: Over Weight to Projected Ownership

UW: Under Weight to Projected Ownership

  • Sungjae Im- EW to OW
  • Joaquin Niemann- EW to UW
  • Viktor Hovland- EW To OW
  • Troy Meritt- EW to UW
  • Charles Howell- EW
  • Joel Dahmen- EW
  • Lucas Glover- EW to UW
  • Vaughn Taylor- EW To UW

#NarrativeStreet

Including Monday Qualifiers, local products, and Sponsor Exemptions and field alternates. Golfers that are playing with a narrative this week:

H* = home game.

  • Zach Johnson

S*= sponsor exemptions * Not already listed above

  • Ricky Barnes
  • Dicky Pride
  • Doc Redman
  • Ho Sung Choi
  • Austin Connelly
  • Arjun Atwal
  • Hovland
  • Morikawa
  • Suh
  • Wolff

M*=Monday Qualifiers: Since DraftKings is adding these players to the pools, I’ll add them to our article!

  • Steve Allan
  • Austen Truslow
  • John Catlin
  • Dylan Meyer

F*= Field Alternates: Golfers that didn’t get in the field initially but are now in the field due to a withdraw:

  • Jim Herman Replaces Corey Conners
  • Brian Davis Replaces Jason Kokrak
  • Chris Couch Replaces Kevin Streelman
  • Charlie Beljan replaces Jim Knous

 

After today we go right into The Open Championship coverage. It comes fast, it comes furious, and it’s a hell of a good time.

 

Until next time,

Cheers, Jason.

Jason established his roots in the littlest state that could...Rhode Island. But after 29 years of bitter cold, and only being able to play golf 4 months a year, upended those roots and moved to Florida. Now two years later, Jason is a husband to Sarah and father of James as well as two Labradors (Choco and Bella) and he dedicates his time to serve as the lead of PGA content at Awesemo.com. In the time he is not diving into the PGA stats and covering this week's current tournament, you can find him researching and trading stocks, on the golf course, or somewhere hopefully lost in nature with his dogs guiding him along the way. Want to chat? Have a question about Golf/Stocks or anything else? Hop on twitter and give him a message @dfsgolfer23. You can also contact Jason by emailing support@awesemo.com.

Continue Reading
Click to comment

You must be logged in to post a comment Login

Leave a Reply

Trending