Expert Daily Fantasy Golf PGA Picks This Week Wyndham Championship

The PGA Tour has but one more stop left on its schedule before the FedEx Cup playoffs begin, and it will happen this week in North Carolina. The Wyndham Championship does not have a lot of history, but it has been hosted at its current venue in Sedgefield Country Club since 2007 and carries a lot of intrigue due to its proximity to the playoffs. Players here need to be within the top 125 in the FedEx Cup standings to maintain their tour cards, so there will be two tournaments to watch this year, one about who wins and the other about who gets their card sewn up for 2022. With that amount of incentive, it should make it ideal for DraftKings and FanDuel DFS golf strategy this week.

Players on the bubble here include Rickie Fowler (125th) and Tommy Fleetwood (130th), and they will both need legitimate finishes here to survive. The venue is a traditional Donald Ross design (much like Detroit Golf Club a few weeks back) and plays as a short par 70 that features smaller Bermuda greens and fairways. The holes tend to favor accuracy over power, but the venue still gives up a ton of birdies — the last five winners here have all reached -21 or better. Target players who have good approach games and can have an accurate week with the driver.

Sedgefield Country Club Stats and Info

Par 70 with smaller Bermuda greens and will play just over 7,000 yards; Donald Ross venue.
Jim Herman won here by gaining over 10 strokes ball striking for the week. He lost strokes around the green but gained them back by having a hot week with his putter.
The last five winners here all ranked fourth or better in strokes gained on approach for the week of their win; very much a second-shot course, with short irons being the key to success.

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Putting Splits

Use caution with these in your daily fantasy golf picks; they are not the be-all, end-all, but they make for a nice tiebreaker.

Negative Bermudagrass Putting Splits, Last 50 Rounds

Adam Scott: +0 strokes on Bermudagrass, +30 strokes on all other surfaces
Adam Schenk: -3 on Bermudagrass, +15 on all other surfaces
Charl Schwartzel: +1 on Bermudagrass, +14 on all other surfaces

*+ equals total strokes gained | – equals strokes lost

Positive Bermudagrass Putting Splits, Last 50 Rounds

Russell Henley: +7 on Bermudagrass, -15 on all other surfaces
Sungjae Im: +28 on Bermudagrass, -7 on all other surfaces
Ryan Armour: +20 on Bermudagrass, +2 on all other surfaces

Daily Fantasy Golf Picks for DraftKings & FanDuel

*Grades are ordered DraftKings, FanDuel. Initial grade indicates a player’s strength of output for the week with the value grade indicating their strength as a play in relation to their salary.

Webb Simpson: Grades: A+, A+; Values: B, B

Webb Simpson and the Wyndham go well together, so there is no surprise that he rates very well in the Awesemo golf projections again this year. He has finished third or better at Sedgefield in each of the last five years and has six top-five finishes here over his career. That said, he also is the most highly owned player in the daily fantasy golf ownership projections at 26.7%. The chalkiness concerns, though, are mitigated by the fact he not only has an insane course history, but his current form gives him the best points projection by over 3 points.

Simpson is coming into this week off of back-to-back top-20 finishes after grinding to finish 15th last week, so there is not much concern here. He has lost strokes on approach over his last few starts, but the easier setup of Sedgefield, which emphasizes short iron play, likely will pull him out of his rut fast. Simpson has gained over three strokes on approach here in each of the last four years, so there is good precedent. Regardless of how this turns out, he is the lead horse and best anchor play by a mile.

The Stats:

Has finished third or better at this event in each of the last four seasons; has gained three or more strokes on his approaches at this event over the last four years.
Ranks 19th in driving accuracy, a category that has been a key mark of almost every past winner at this event.

Projected PGA DFS ownership: DraftKings: 26.7%

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Justin Rose: Grades: B, B; Values: A, B

Seeing Justin Rose ranked highly this week on the Awesemo model was a bit of a surprise. He has had an up-and-down season but is only $8,000 this week on DraftKings and can be had for a fraction of other major winners in this field. Despite his inconsistency, Rose has the 10th-best points projection in the model and has the best value score of anyone above $8,000. He has had some spike weeks, including an eighth-place finish at the PGA Championship where he gained 11 strokes putting for the week. Still, he has not struck his irons well of late and lost over four strokes on approach last week alone.

The Wyndham is a place where veterans often compete (Davis Love III won here at the age of 51), and if Rose’s flat stick gets hot again, he could easily find himself in contention against this watered-down field. He missed the cut here last season but enters having made the cut in four of his last five full-field events. He is the Awesemo’s favorite upper-tier value this week by far.

The Stats:

Has made the cut in four of his last five full-field events; ranks top 25 in both birdies or better and birdies over the last 50 rounds.
Ranks 40th in strokes gained putting and has gained over a stroke on the greens in three of his last four starts.

Projected PGA DFS ownership: DraftKings: 10.3%

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Low-Owned PGA DFS GPP Flier

Si Woo Kim

Outside of the crazy Sunday final round that saw the final group implode, one of the big stories form the WGC last week was the Si Woo Kim’s 13 on the 11th hole. The score represented the worst score ever recorded on a par 3 in competition and helped him to a final-round 78. Kim has admittedly not been in great form of late, but he also typically does not let past finishes bother him and often pops off without much notice.

Kim won here back in 2016 (his first ever on tour) and also finished in third place last season. He has recorded three top-five finishes at this event in five career appearances but still seems to get bypassed by many DFS players who simply fade him based off his final round alone. Kim is in the middle of a solid year, though, and likely would not mind a few extra FedEx Cup points before the playoffs. He is 21st in this field in strokes gained tee to green and had gained over a stroke on his approaches in three of his last four starts prior to last week’s debacle. At under 10% owned, he is the perfect GPP target in an event where players with strong course history often dominate.

Projected PGA DFS ownership: DraftKings: 8.0%

Awesemo's Top Golfer Tool is an Ace Since golf performances are largely uncorrelated between one golfer and the next, aside from weather impacts, a good way to view a PGA DFS lineup is as a parlay, where you have to hit all 6 picks to hit. The Awesemo Top Golfer Tool gives you the probabilities that each golfer will finish top 6, as well as their 25%, 50%,and 75% results as a benchmark for how you can expect each golfer to perform at the tournament.

DraftKings Top Three Under 5%

I am targeting three players here that I think will end up under (or close) to 5% ownership in bigger DraftKings GPPs. We are searching for boom/bust players here with an almost 100% focus on upside.

Henrik Norlander ($6,600)

Henrik Norlander has the perfect profile for this venue, as he hits a ton of fairways (30th in driving accuracy) and is a very good short iron player — ranks 25th or better in proximity from 100 to 125, 125 to 150 and 150 to 175 yards. He has made his last five cuts on the PGA and gained 7.1 strokes on approach alone in his last start (fifth at the Barbasol).

Jason Dufner ($7,000)

Jason Dufner has been in decent form of late and comes in having made the cut in three straight starts. Dufner is generally very straight off the tee, and his irons have really been firing of late, as he has gained strokes on approach and off the tee in four straight starts. He has played in this event seven times and finished seventh here in 2012.

Chris Kirk ($7,200)

Chris Kirk should keep low sentiment after missing two cuts in a row. He is projected under 5% owned here yet ranks 12th in this field in strokes gained tee to green over the last 50 rounds. He has also never missed the cut at Sedgefield in five career appearances, and this is a venue where strong course history tends to shine through. He is again a good pivot and finished 12th at Detroit Golf Club last month, another Donald Ross design.

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