Ownership projections are some of the most vital pieces of information a gamer can have for any DFS sport, let alone PGA DFS. Some, in fact, only look at ownership and forgo looking at the . With 144 players in the field at this week’s PGA Tour event at PGA National, there will be plenty of opportunities to find golfers that not many gamers know about and create the edge necessary to score big at the 2022 Honda Classic.
Check out the entire field’s PGA DFS ownership projections before making your predictions and fantasy golf picks this week on DraftKings and FanDuel.
Contrarian Fantasy Golf Picks: 2022 Honda Classic
Awesemo’s Fantasy Golf Ownership: Top 10
(As of noon ET Tuesday)***
PGA DFS Favorites: $9,000 and Above
- 12 golfers
The field is undoubtedly weaker than average, but that does not change the salary distribution and how golfers are priced. So again there are 12 golfers at $9,000 or above, leading off with Sungjae Im. He also is one of the three highest-owned golfers, as his course history has warranted the high salary, and his season-long form is one of the best in the field as well. However, he has only played in five of seven events this year, as he sat out two of the last three weeks. Last week his return to the action brought a tie for 33rd, while he struggled most around the green. Expect that to be tightened up this week. Im’s ownership will not reach 30%, at least in the largest contests, but Billy Horschel’s could. At just $9,600 and playing solid golf this season, Horschel is seen as the safest place to start a lineup this week.
Checking in as the third-highest owned golfer of the slate, Daniel Berger is looking like he will be 20% owned or higher, despite injury concerns. Joaquin Niemann, fresh off a rather dominating performance in Los Angeles, may opt for the party scene in Miami this week, only about an hour drive from West Palm. But not all gamers think he will be seen on South Beach, as 17% of the field is looking at the possibility for him to secure back-to-back wins. Keith Mitchell has the fifth-highest ownership projection in this price range and in the top 10 of the event, as course history and recent form suggest a great combination for him.
Then there is a bit of a drop off with the other remaining seven golfers. These four should all be owned between 10% and 15%:
- Tommy Fleetwood
- Matthew Wolff
- Alex Noren
- Brooks Koepka
Top Contrarian Fantasy Golf Picks
Nine of the 12 golfers in this range were mentioned above, leaving three candidates that are projected at or less than 10%. Starting off with Florida resident Louis Oosthuizen, he played some of the most consistent golf over the last 12 months but has not had any top-10s here. Neither has Shane Lowry, but Lowry has never missed a cut in four trips here. Then lastly, defending champion Matt Jones broke out of a mini-slump last week and came in a tie for 15th, which should give him confidence. All three present solid options when adding one or multiple low-owned golfers into lineups.
Awesemo golf betting experts Ben Rasa and Eytan Shander will be coming to you every week on the OddsShopper YouTube Channel with the Putting for Dough golf betting show, where they give you their expert PGA picks and predictions for the week. This week they are giving their free golf betting picks for the 2022 Honda Classic.
PGA DFS Mid-Range ($8,900-$7,500)
- 22 golfers
There are a few more familiar names in this price range, and that is a product of a number of golfers with odds in the 20-1 to 66-1 outright market. There will be plenty of ownership going here as well, including Brian Harman, who has a projection of 18%, the fourth highest on the slate. Cameron Young will be under a heat check advisory, as he played incredible golf last week and came in second to Niemann. He will likely carry ownership above 15%. Denny McCarthy missed the cut the last time out, but that is not scaring games away; his projection is coming in just shy of 16%, which is top 10. K.H. Lee has not missed a cut all year, and a lot of gamers like that consistency. He and Aaron Wise are the remaining two golfers that could push 15% ownership this week. There is a bit of a drop-off in terms of projected ownership to the next group of golfers, all of whom are likely to be owned between 10% and 15% this week:
- C.T. Pan
- Mackenzie Hughes
- Jhonattan Vegas
- Chris Kirk
- Taylor Moore
- Christiaan Bezuidenhout
About half of the golfers in this section will be owned over 10%, leaving around 10 that have projected ownership of less than 10%. Those that could end up over 10% include:
- Mito Pereira
- Russell Knox
- Patrick Reed
- Ryan Palmer
- Michael Thompson
Top Contrarian Fantasy Golf Picks
This week some of the bigger names make up some of the best contrarian plays. Lee Westwood and Gary Woodland are the first two that come to mind, both projected with 5% ownership. Rickie Fowler and Ian Poulter are the next two, coming in with projected ownership of around 6%. However, none of them seem to possess the upside that Nicolai Hojgaard has shown recently, with a win and another top-five in his last four starts. The other two ended in missed cuts.
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PGA DFS Value Plays ($7,400 and Below)
- 110 golfers
The last few weeks have not provided many golfers priced under $7,500 that had ownership of more than 10%, but this week there are likely to be a few:
- Lucas Glover
- Charles Howell III
- Aaron Rai
- Sam Ryder
- Sepp Straka
- Garrick Higgo
- Stewart Cink
Those likely cover all the names that are going to be owned at 5% or more this week. That leaves over 100 golfers that are not expected to be owned over 5%. Some interesting names are:
- Lucas Herbert
- Martin Kaymer
- Taylor Pendrith
- Brendan Steele
- Zach Johnson
- Stewart Cink
- Hudson Swafford
- Dylan Frittelli
- Alex Smalley
- Chad Ramey
- Matthias Schwab
- Adam Svensson
- Beau Hossler
- Doug Ghim
- Hayden Buckley
Among those golfers — and almost every golfer in the field — Hayden Buckley is the best value according to Awesemo’s PGA DFS Projections, with a projected score of 46.4 points. Be sure to check out how all of the Awesemo experts are ranking these golfers in the Pro Plays Tool.
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DFS PGA rankings for this week will be posted at least a day in advance of any tournament. The PGA DFS projections for DraftKings, the DFS PGA showdown projections for DraftKings and the FanDuel PGA DFS ownership projections for this week are made and used by Alex Baker, the No. 1 DFS player in the world. Looking for more DFS PGA and the best PGA DFS advice?
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