Golf betting is on the rise in the U.S. but has been very prevalent across the pond for some time, both with the European Tour and the PGA Tour. This article will give three outright/each-way bets and one head-to-head matchup for a quick hitter, Euro Sweat.
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The European Tour heads to Dubai for the week for the Omega Dubai Desert Classic. It is a beautiful par 72 that measures about 7,400 yards and typically plays easy each year as long as there are no sandstorms present. Hitting it long and in play on those par 5’s will give a couple of eagle looks per round for some of the bombers.
Last week Recap
I like to stay on top of transparency as much as possible.
Outrights and Placements
The number of golfers in the sample: three
- Wins: zero
- Top fives: zero
- Top 10s: zero
- Top 20s: one
- Mattias Schwab: He finished 42nd with two bad rounds.
- Guido Migliozzi: Migliozzi couldn’t rally to make the cut, needed to birdie his last three. He fell short on 18 after birdieing the previous two.
- Thomas Detry: Detry started off the tourney well, but fell down the board a bit and finished in a tie for 55th.
- Head-to-Head Matchup: Ian Poulter seems to be out of form, and while Charl Schwartzel didn’t play well either, he beat Poulter by one.
European Tour Golf Betting Player Focus
Haotong Li (40-1 Outright)
We’ve seen Li a couple of times this winter at the Presidents Cup and other tournaments, and he can get hot in a hurry. His course history is elite, winning two years ago and coming in third last year. Checking out his stats from last week, his approaches were his downfall, but he putted very well which excites me about the prospects this week. He’s hot and cold and when he’s in it, he turns on another gear. When he’s out of it, he’s terrible. Typically by Friday, you know if you’ll have a sweat or not.
Adri Arnaus (110-1 Outright)
Arnaus led the field last week in strokes gained off the tee, picking up right where he left off last year. This course rewards that more than others, especially with all of the par 5’s being reachable. If we see an uptick in putting and his approaches, then he could see himself inside the top 10 to start Sunday. At 110-1, all of the each-way odds look appealing.
Rasa’s Euro Golf Betting Corner
Although we don’t focus on Euro Tour that much, both Ben and I love a little Euro sweat. Here’s Ben’s bet for the week:
Thomas Pieters (28-1 Outright)
Pieters was decent last week, coming in 30th at the Abu Dhabi HSBC Championship. It was the same story as he racked up 17 birdies but couldn’t avoid 10 bogeys, leading to the middling finish. He now goes to a course where he’s made the cut consistently but is yet to get in contention. I rarely if ever worry about upside with Pieters, who is a scoring machine when he gets going and is a reasonable outright price considering the talent. Although historically he’s preferred last week’s event to this one, I see no reason why he can’t get his best result here in Dubai and get in contention come Sunday
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Golf Betting Matchup
A full onslaught against Bryson DeChambeau:
In golf, there are a few times you can take advantage of a golfer in bad form and this is one of them. He’s still priced as if he’s the favorite in most of them as well, so until DeChambeau shows us he can make a cut again, I’m OK going against him.
*all against DeChambeau
Victor Perez +150
Shane Lowry -105
Bernd Wiesberger +105
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Quick Notes on Euro Tour PGA DFS for this weeks’ contests.
DraftKings is offering $5,000 to first place for the $8 buy-in. It is not a bad sweat starting tonight at 11:00 p.m. EST. Here are a few golfers to target:
- Tommy Fleetwood ($11,300)
- Adri Arnaus ($7,300)
- Matthis Schwab ($8,000)
- Sean Crocker ($6,600)
Good luck, everyone!
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