Whether it’s your first time reading, or you’re a seasoned vet, this article covers GPP PGA DFS picks for fantasy golf. It also breaks the field down into four price categories for FanDuel, DraftKings, and Yahoo PGA DFS. The article is meant to be a guiding tool in creating variance in your lineups, that in turn, hopefully, can create an edge against the field. Winning a GPP of any size is a difficult task, especially ones with 40,000-plus entries. Each of my big wins has come by going against the grain with some players and pairing them with the right chalk. Now, these picks are meant only for Game Theory plays, and may not ultimately in my player pool. On to the Greenbrier!
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A quick recap of last week
RSQ at 84.5% last week…
Player focus this week
It is a little more accessible to determine ownership this week in the $10,000 range, as opposed to weeks past, where it was tough to call. This time, we know Henrik Stenson is the class of the field and will likely get somewhere north of 20% ownership. Good course history and good recent stats line up well for the only golfer ranked inside the top 40 in OWGR competing in this field. The next batch is made of three golfers playing well right now, and two of them have elite course history. Brian Harman, Daniel Berger and Russell Henley should all see somewhere near or north of 15% this week. That only leaves Cam Champ, who could be on the verge of a withdraw. His grandpa is still in hospice and could pass away at any moment.
Top ATG play
If Champ plays the whole week with all his marbles in place, then, of course, he’s a great against-the-grain play, but we saw last week the win and the situation seem to be weighing heavily.
Fantasy Golf Commentary
Even after Scottie Scheffler’s abysmal weekend, it looks as though gamers are willing to write it off and make him the highest-owned golfer of the slate. He’ll be followed likely by Lanto Griffin, Harris English, Cameron Tringale, Luke List and Keegan Bradley. Just a couple more golfers will get over 10% from this range that includes:
- Denny McCarthy
- Russell Knox
- Sam Ryder
- Xinjun Zhang
Eight more names here in this section, with three of them getting at or below 5% with the other five getting between 8-12%. Here are the three golfers under 5%:
- Aaron Baddeley
- Carlos Ortiz
- Beau Hossler
Top ATG Play
Beau Hossler’s best-ever finish on tour came the last time this event was played, and since then, it’s been a rough go. The form picked up a little bit recently with a top 30 last week, and to no surprise, he relied heavily on his short game. If he can figure out his irons at least somewhat, then I’m interested in the ownership and the play this week.
Two rookies lead the value section, as Doc Redman’s irons continued to stay hot last week, and Robby Shelton remained hot, making all three cuts in the fall swing season. They will get a ton of attention and be owned close to 15% or over this week. Mr. 59 Kevin Chappell will likely get close to 10% this week, and will be joined by Jhonttan Vegas (awful round one last week but did bounce back on Friday). Nick Watney, Sam Burns and Richy Werenski are all getting close to 10%. However, as you can see from the projections, it’s spread out after the top two or three. There are plenty of chances to pick up some leverage, including:
- Tom Hoge
- Kristoffer Ventura
- Cameron Davis
- Patton Kizzire
Tom Hoge has been brought to my attention a couple of times, adding the ownership piece should help things even more.
I’m not sure what to trust from these ownership numbers. Zach Sucher is a little inflated because he had that one start after his big finish at the Travelers, where he was over 10% owned. Since then, however, he hasn’t crossed the 5% threshold. Talor Gooch and Roberto Castro seem to make sense around the 7-10% mark. A couple of other names like Maverick McNealy and Mackenzie Hughes will hover around the 5% range, as well.
Also, check-in around 6:00 Pm for my entire player pool in this week’s version of the “Winning Element.”