Whether it’s your first time reading or you’re a seasoned vet, this article covers PGA DFS picks for the Tour Championship, starting Sept. 4. It also breaks the field down into four price categories for FanDuel and DraftKings. The article is meant to be a guiding tool in creating variance in your lineups, which in turn, hopefully, can create an edge against the field.
Winning a GPP of any size is a difficult task, especially ones with 40,000-plus entries. Each of my big wins has come by going against the grain with some players and pairing them with the right chalk.
Millionaire Maker Review From Last Week
Even in a 70-man field, this user was able to make a unique single entry, stay under 65% total ownership and win the thing.
Picks Review
- Top-end pick: Justin Thomas was OK
- Value: Patrick Cantlay and Collin Morikawa were OK. Jason Day was bad.
- Mid-level pick: Mackenzie Hughes and Cameron Smith were both good.
Projected PGA DFS Highest-Owned Golfers for the Tour ChampionshipÂ
For the full list, click here.
PGA DFS Player Focus This Week
This week features only 30 players with no cut. For the article, I’ll break it into thirds.
Related PGA DFS Content
- The Awesemo YouTube Channel – TOUR Championship Live Before Lock
- Jason Rouslin’s First Cut: TOUR Championship
- Against The Grain: TOUR Championship DFS PicksÂ
- PGA DFS Projections for SuperDraft from Alex ‘Awesemo’ Baker (PREMIUM)
- Ownership Projections for DraftKings + FanDuel (PREMIUM)
- PGA DFS Projections for DraftKings + FanDuel (PREMIUM)
The Top 10 Priced
- Total ownership of around 250%
Commentary
The easiness of going from Dustin Johnson to Jon Rahm is bringing double the ownership or maybe even higher in some spots to Rahm. The same can be said, at least similarly, going from Colin Morikawa and Bryson DeChambeau down to Rory McIlroy and Xander Schauffele. Justin Thomas, Hideki Matsuyama, Webb Simpson and Daniel Berger will all be owned around 25%. I also suspect that a lot of lineups will start with Rahm, Schauffele and Billy Horschel. So, if you are going to play Rahm and Schauffele, it might be best to try and separate them in your lineups. By my calculation, it should be the highest-owned stack of the slate.
Top Against-the-Grain Plays
Given the information in front of us, I think it would be silly not to have at least one, if not two, of the Johnson, Morikawa, DeChambeau trio in your lineups if the goal is to be as unique as possible.
The Middle 10
- Total ownership of 256%
Commentary
It is no surprise to see Tony Finau and Tyrrell Hatton lead the way in terms of ownership, closing in 30% and 25%, respectively. That isn’t terrible for such a small field. Kevin Kisner and Joaquin Niemann come into the Tour Championship with good form and will push north of 20%. Viktor Hovland will also push above 20% given that he’s $100 cheaper than Scottie Scheffler, the next guy on this list. That should leave us with four golfers that should be owned between 10% and 15%. Harris English finally came back to earth a bit last week. Patrick Reed, however, would make an intriguing play at these ownership levels, but I find it hard to believe he’ll actually end up below 15%. At the time of writing this, there’s still well over 24 hours until the first tee so plenty of time to decipher the information. Brendon Todd will also come in closer to 15%.
Top Against-the-Grain Plays
The only one I didn’t mention was Sungjae Im, and that’s because the form just isn’t there, and the main culprit is his irons. He’s only gained more than two strokes once since the restart, and that’s covering 11 starts. If somehow he does that this week, then it probably goes without saying, but he’ll need to be a part of your lineup. For me, it’s too much of a gamble, and I’d rather pay $600 more and get Scheffler.
The 10 Lowest Priced
Commentary
Billy Horschel, getting a gift of another week by way of Corey Conners, is now trending towards one of the highest-owned golfers of the slate. Ryan Palmer and Mackenzie Hughes have both shown form as recently as last week, and will also trend towards 20%. I can’t imagine, in a 30-man field at $6,100, Abraham Ancer is going to be less than 20%. Next, Cameron Smith and Lanto Griffin are gaining a bit of steam and will come in between 15% and 20%. That leaves four golfers: Sebastian Munoz, Cameron Champ, Kevin Na and Marc Leishman.Â
Top Against-the-Grain Plays
Out of those four, I’d lean Champ, but both Munoz and Na have appeal. I’ll have some of all three along with Smith and Griffin.
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