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Expert Bermuda Championship Data & Stats | PGA DFS Picks for DraftKings & FanDuel Lineups

Jason Rouslin

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PGA DFS picks. Daily fantasy golf expert live stream breaking down the 3M Open for DraftKings + FanDuel with Patrick Reed.

Having a variety of viewpoints and data points can be both a curse and a blessing. This column will sift through all the data and top picks from the four statistical angles that make up PGA DFS. The swing season continues this week with another international event, the Butterfield Bermuda Championship. There are 130 players scheduled to tee it up this week, with the winner getting well over $1 million. This is the third year the tournament has been held at this course, so there are a few years of course history.

PGA DFS Data Deep Dive | The Bermuda Championship

Recent Form

Hayden Buckley was staring down no status on any tour, let alone the PGA Tour, just 12 weeks ago, but a life-changing second place propelled him to the big stage. He then turned that into two top-10s in his first few starts on tour, including one top-five, which has vaulted him up to the top of the reshuffle board. When he is off, though, it gets rough, as he has two missed cuts mixed in with his five top-10s over the last 12 weeks. Only Christiaan Bezuidenhout, Stephan Jaeger, Sahith Theegala and Vincent Whaley have three or more top-10s over the time span. Eight others in the field have finished in the top 10 at least twice: Matthias Schwab, Adam Hadwin, David Lipsky, Chad Ramey, Seth Reeves, Callum Tarren, Harry Hall and David Skinns.

Another name that has found himself in a good stretch of golf is Patrick Rodgers, who has four top-25s in his last seven starts, but his other three starts that were not in the top 25 were all missed cuts, so it has been a bit of feast or famine. Lastly, Bezuidenhout and Taylor Pendtrith are the only two golfers in the field with at least four starts in the last 12 weeks that have made the cut in all of them.

Negative Recent Form

It has been all famine lately for a handful of players, including Hank Lebioda, Scot Brown and Matt Every. None of them have made a cut here in the last 12 weeks.

Click Here for the google sheet link

PGA DFS Picks Based on Recent Form

  1. Christiaan Bezuidenhout ($10,700)
  2. Hayden Buckley ($9,900)
  3. Sahith Theegala ($8,800)
  4. David Lipsky ($8,000)
  5. Harry Hall ($6,900)

Course History

There are only two years of history at this event, but 29 of the 130 golfers expected to compete have teed it up in both years. Ryan Armour and David Hearn are two of three golfers with two top-10s here, coming in eighth both years. That pales in comparison to Brian Gay’s performance in Bermuda, as he has come in third and first in those two years. Kramer Hickock, Denny McCarthy, Russell Knox, Beau Hossler and Lebioda have all come in the top 26 in each of the two years here. A few golfers have not made the cut in either of the two years it has been played here, including Kevin Stanley and Bo Van Pelt.

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PGA DFS Picks Based on Course History

  1. Denny McCarthy ($8,500)
  2. Ryan Armour ($8,100)
  3. Brian Gay ($7,100)
  4. David Hearn ($7,000)
  5. Kramer Hickock ($7,000)

Strokes Gained

A year’s worth of data should clearly indicate where golfers excel and where they struggle. For perspective, the average number of strokes gained for each stat has been added. Each week this column will also include the most important stat for the week and the top 10 rankings based on the average strokes gained from those stats.

Strokes Gained Tee to Green

  1. Seamus Power (0.845)
  2. Patrick Reed (0.644)
  3. Matt Fitzpatrick (0.62)
  4. Matthew NeSmith (0.612)
  5. Joseph Bramlett (0.601)
  6. Cameron Percy (0.46)
  7. Russell Knox (0.453)
  8. Camilo Villegas (0.401)
  9. Jason Dufner (0.395)
  10. Bo Hoag (0.377)

Strokes Gained Off the Tee

  1. Matt Fitzpatrick (0.539)
  2. Brandon Hagy (0.33)
  3. Patrick Rodgers (0.305)
  4. Anirban Lahiri (0.28)
  5. Joseph Bramlett (0.224)
  6. J.J. Spaun (0.178)
  7. Vincent Whaley (0.168)
  8. Jason Dufner (0.165)
  9. Danny Lee (0.154)
  10. Bo Hoag (0.141)

Strokes Gained on Approach

  1. Cameron Percy (0.698)
  2. Matthew NeSmith (0.683)
  3. Russell Knox (0.522)
  4. Seamus Power (0.393)
  5. Luke Donald (0.362)
  6. Scott Stallings (0.353)
  7. Hank Lebioda (0.332)
  8. Patrick Reed (0.279)
  9. Bo Hoag (0.246)
  10. Camilo Villegas (0.236)

Strokes Gained Around the Green

  1. Danny Willett (0.698)
  2. Fabián Gómez (0.683)
  3. Seamus Power (0.522)
  4. Patrick Reed (0.393)
  5. Dylan Frittelli (0.362)
  6. Camilo Villegas (0.353)
  7. Kramer Hickok (0.332)
  8. Adam Hadwin (0.279)
  9. Brian Stuard (0.246)
  10. Mark Hubbard (0.236)

Strokes Gained Putting

  1. Adam Hadwin (0.669)
  2. Denny McCarthy (0.471)
  3. Hank Lebioda (0.435)
  4. Michael Gligic (0.431)
  5. Matt Fitzpatrick (0.384)
  6. Ryan Armour (0.367)
  7. Austin Cook (0.354)
  8. Vaughn Taylor (0.309)
  9. Mark Hubbard (0.293)
  10. Martin Trainer (0.282)
  11. Ben Martin 0.277

Strokes Gained on the Approach and Strokes Gained Putting

  1. Patrick Reed (0.948)
  2. Hank Lebioda (0.763)
  3. Seamus Power (0.561)
  4. Matt Fitzpatrick (0.393)
  5. Scott Stallings (0.383)
  6. Cameron Percy (0.346)
  7. Vaughn Taylor (0.308)
  8. Matthew NeSmith (0.306)
  9. Brian Stuard (0.273)
  10. Ryan Armour (0.272)

For the yearly strokes gained ranks, Click here.

Top PGA DFS Picks Based on Strokes Gained

  1. Matthew Fitzpatrick ($11,000)
  2. Patrick Reed ($10,400)
  3. Seamus Power ($9,100)
  4. Scott Stallings ($8,600)
  5. Cameron Percy ($6,900)

Old School Statistics

With three events played in the new season, the stats have been generated, even though half of this field has not recorded a round yet.

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Greens in Regulation

  1. Hayden Buckley
  2. Sahith Theegala
  3. Joseph Bramlett
  4. Nick Hardy
  5. Seth Reeves
  6. Seamus Power
  7. Danny Willett
  8. Nick Watney
  9. Chad Ramey
  10. Adam Hadwin

Total Driving

  1. Harry Hall
  2. Garrick Higgo
  3. Seth Reeves
  4. Bo Van Pelt
  5. Austin Smotherman
  6. Davis Riley
  7. Matthias Schwab
  8. Callum Tarren
  9. Hayden Buckley
  10. Lee Hodges

Total Putting

  1. Patrick Rodgers
  2. Beau Hossler
  3. Vincent Whaley
  4. Harry Hall
  5. Brian Gay
  6. Patrick Reed
  7. Matthias Schwab
  8. Peter Uihlein
  9. Taylor Pendrith
  10. Garrick Higgo

Birdie or Better

  1. Harry Hall
  2. Jim Knous
  3. Hayden Buckley
  4. Matthias Schwab
  5. Garrick Higgo
  6. Seamus Power
  7. Seth Reeves
  8. Chad Ramey
  9. Davis Riley
  10. Brandon Hagy

Approach Proximity Within 125 Yards

  1. Jason Dufner
  2. Dylan Frittelli
  3. Camilo Villegas
  4. David Hearn
  5. Vaughn Taylor
  6. Hank Lebioda
  7. Russell Knox
  8. Peter Malnati
  9. Cameron Percy
  10. Mark Hubbard

Click here to view in Google Sheets.

Top PGA DFS Picks Based on Statistical Analysis

  1. Seamus Power ($10,200)
  2. Danny Willett ($9,300)
  3. Nick Watney ($7,800)
  4. Adam Hadwin ($9,400)
  5. Peter Malnati ($7,400)

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The DFS PGA projections for Yahoo!, the PGA DFS showdown projections for today and the DraftKings DFS PGA ownership projections are made and used by Alex Baker, the No. 1 DFS player in the world. Looking for more PGA DFS advice and PGA DFS picks for FanDuel? FantasyDraft DFS PGA rankings for today will be posted at least a day in advance of any tournament.

Jason established his roots in the littlest state that could...Rhode Island. But after 29 years of bitter cold, and only being able to play golf 4 months a year, upended those roots and moved to Florida. Now two years later, Jason is a husband to Sarah and father of James as well as two Labradors (Choco and Bella) and he dedicates his time to serve as the lead of PGA content at Awesemo.com. In the time he is not diving into the PGA stats and covering this week's current tournament, you can find him researching and trading stocks, on the golf course, or somewhere hopefully lost in nature with his dogs guiding him along the way. Want to chat? Have a question about Golf/Stocks or anything else? Hop on twitter and give him a message @dfsgolfer23. You can also contact Jason by emailing [email protected].

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