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PGA DFS Expert Stats & Data Driven Analysis for The Palmetto Championship | DraftKings & FanDuel Lineups

Jason Rouslin

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PGA DFS is filled with tons of useful information, but at times it can be overwhelming. If this is your first time visiting the article, this statistical overview will focus on recent form, course history, strokes gained, and old-school statistics. I will provide notes and a data sheet to help with your PGA DFS picks for DraftKings and FanDuel daily fantasy golf contests in each category. This week the focus is on The Palmetto Championship.

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PGA DFS Picks: The Palmetto Championship

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Recent Form

With so many different names in the field this week, it seems like an opportune time to review who is playing well and how they are doing it. So while there is no course history this week, here is deeper dive into recent strokes gained data.

Only 10 golfers have accumulated multiple top-10s in the last 11 weeks. Garrick Higgo is one of those, a budding star from South Africa via the European Tour. Joining him are Seamus Power and Peter Uihlein. Uihlein’s three top-10s all came on the Korn Ferry Tour, while Power had one come on the PGA Tour and one the Korn Ferry Tour. David Lipsky’s two top-10s were also done on tours other than the PGA Tour, as were Danny Willett‘s. That leaves six golfers with multiple top-10s on the PGA Tour: Ian Poulter, Lucas Glover, Patton Kizzire, Keith Mitchell and Brandt Snedeker. 

While Adam Schenk hasn’t had top-10 upside, he has been able to get inside the top 25 three times while only missing two cuts over the past 11 weeks. Camilo Villegas is in the same boat.

Lastly, there are only five golfers in the field that have competed at least four times and haven’t missed a cut: Snedeker, Power, Tyrrell Hatton, Vincent Whaley and Alex Noren. 

Click here to view in Google Sheets.

Top PGA DFS Picks Based on Recent Form

  1. Ian Poulter ($8,900)
  2. Alex Noren ($8,800)
  3. Seamus Power ($7,500)

Strokes Gained

With the course measuring almost 7,700 yards but playing to a par 71, length off the tee will matter this week, as the generous landing zones should help the longer hitters use shorter clubs going into the par 5’s. We will focus on strokes gained total and strokes gained off the tee for the last nine tournament weeks.


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Strokes Gained Tee to Green

Brooks Koepka (10), Dustin Johnson (13), Doug Ghim (23), Hatton (24), Harold Varner III (29), Luke List (33)

Strokes Gained Off Tee

Jhonattan Vegas (5), Sungjae Im (7), List (8), Ryan Brehm (16), Mitchell (19), Koepka (20)

Strokes Gained On Approach

Matthew NeSmith (9), Hatton (11), Ghim (15), Koepka (16), Cameron Percy (26)

Strokes Gained Around Green

Fabian Gomez (1), Willett (3), Tommy Fleetwood (4), Byeong Hun An (5), Wyndham Clark (11)

Strokes Gained Putting

Poulter (7), J.T. Poston (8), Kris Ventura (10), Kizzire (12), Chesson Hadley (14)

For the yearly strokes gained ranks, Click here.

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Strokes Gained Total Deep Dive

For the last 10 weeks, here are the top 20 golfers with the most strokes gained.

Name Strokes Gained Starts Per Start
Lucas Glover 8.59 6 1.431667
Alex Noren 6.69 5 1.338
Brandt Snedeker 6.64 5 1.328
Harold Varner III 6.25 6 1.041667
Vincent Whaley 5.95 5 1.19
Ian Poulter 4.67 6 0.778333
Camilo Villegas 4.47 5 0.894
Patton Kizzire 4.15 8 0.51875
Pat Perez 3.37 6 0.561667
Jhonattan Vegas 3.04 5 0.608
Sungjae Im 2.93 6 0.488333
C.T. Pan 2.75 4 0.6875
Ben Martin 2.63 4 0.6575
Dustin Johnson 2.37 3 0.79
Seamus Power 2.27 2 1.135
Brooks Koepka 2.05 2 1.025
Tyrrell Hatton 2.03 2 1.015
Keith Mitchell 1.89 5 0.378
Danny Willett 1.8 4 0.45
Tommy Fleetwood 1.27 3 0.423333
Roger Sloan 1.17 4 0.2925

In addition to these, only nine golfers in the field have been able to gain strokes positively in all of their starts over this times:

Name Starts
Alex Noren 5
Brandt Snedeker 5
Vincent Whaley 5
Dustin Johnson 3
Seamus Power 2
Tyrrell Hatton 2

Strokes Gained Off the Tee Deep Dive

Name Strokes Gained Starts Per Start
Tom Lewis 4.44 7 0.634286
Luke List 4.41 7 0.63
Jhonattan Vegas 3.57 5 0.714
Dustin Johnson 3.26 3 1.086667
Satoshi Kodaira 3.19 5 0.638
Keith Mitchell 3.09 5 0.618
Ryan Brehm 3.03 4 0.7575
Hunter Mahan 3.03 5 0.606
Bronson Burgoon 2.54 4 0.635
Erik van Rooyen 2.36 5 0.472
Sungjae Im 2.07 6 0.345
Lucas Glover 1.97 6 0.328333
Brooks Koepka 1.83 2 0.915
Will Gordon 1.82 5 0.364
Ben Martin 1.79 4 0.4475
Joseph Bramlett 1.73 5 0.346
Padraig Harrington 1.59 4 0.3975
Harold Varner III 1.34 6 0.223333
James Hahn 1.31 5 0.262
Hudson Swafford 1.3 6 0.216667
Roger Sloan 1.28 4 0.32
Richy Werenski 1.1 6 0.183333

In addition to these, only nine golfers in the field have been able to gain strokes positively in all of their starts over this times:

Name  Starts
Tom Lewis 7
Luke List 7
Satoshi Kodaira 5
Keith Mitchell 5
Hunter Mahan 5
Ryan Brehm 4
Bronson Burgoon 4
Ben Martin 4
Dustin Johnson 3
Brooks Koepka 2

Old School Statistics

Driving Distance 

Brehm (3), Koepka (5), Johnson (8), Clark (9), Mitchell (10), List (14), Gordon (17), Tyler McCumber (18)

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Total Driving

Im (5), James Hahn (7), Johnson (8), Martin Laird (9), Hudson Swafford (11), Nesmith (16)

Greens in Regulation

Chris Baker (5), NeSmith (7), Josh Teater (16), James Hahn (17)

Scrambling 20-30 Yards

Ben Taylor (1), Vaughn Taylor (5), Joseph Bramlett (6), An (8), Clark (10)

Putting 15-20 Feet

Kiradech Aphibarnrat (1), Aaron Baddeley (2), Harris English (5), Noren (6)

Click here to view in Google Sheets.

Top PGA DFS Picks Based on Statistical Analysis

  1. Lucas Glover ($8,900)
  2. Brandt Snedeker ($8,400)
  3. Vincent Whaley ($7,500)

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The FanDuel PGA DFS projections, the DFS PGA showdown projections for DraftKings and the DFS PGA ownership projections for DraftKings are made and used by Alex Baker, the No. 1 DFS player in the world. Looking for more FanDuel PGA DFS picks and FanDuel PGA DFS picks? DraftKings DFS PGA rankings for today will be posted at least a day in advance of any tournament.

Jason established his roots in the littlest state that could...Rhode Island. But after 29 years of bitter cold, and only being able to play golf 4 months a year, upended those roots and moved to Florida. Now four years later, Jason is a husband to Sarah and father of two boys, James & Myles. A dog and more specifically Lab lover (Bella), he dedicates his time to serve as the lead of PGA content at Awesemo.com. In the time he is not diving into the PGA stats and covering this week's current tournament, you can find him researching and trading stocks, on the golf course, at Disney World, on a hike, or somewhere in between. Want to chat? Have a question about Golf/Stocks or anything else? Hop on twitter and give him a message @dfsgolfer23. You can also contact Jason by emailing [email protected].

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